We Think Illumina (NASDAQ:ILMN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Illumina (NASDAQ:ILMN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Illumina, Inc. (NASDAQ:ILMN) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
傳奇基金經理李錄(查理·芒格支持的)曾說過:'最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。' 所以,當你考慮任何給定股票風險時,考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮公司。我們可以看到,Illumina公司(納斯達克:ILMN)確實在其業務中使用債務。但是,這對股東來說是個問題嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時會變得危險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務支持一項業務,直到業務在用新資本或自由現金流償還債務時出現問題。最終,如果公司無法履行法律義務償還債務,股東可能會一無所獲。雖然這並不常見,但我們確實經常看到負債累累的公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款方迫使他們以困境價格籌集資金。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理管理其債務並從中獲益。當我們考察債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平的綜合情況。
How Much Debt Does Illumina Carry?
Illumina的債務有多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Illumina had US$1.99b of debt, up from US$1.49b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$939.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.05b.
正如您下面所見,截至2024年9月底,Illumina的債務爲19.9億美元,高於去年的14.9億美元。點擊圖片查看更多細節。 然而,由於其現金儲備爲93900萬美元,淨債務則較少,約爲10.5億美元。
How Healthy Is Illumina's Balance Sheet?
Illumina的資產負債表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Illumina had liabilities of US$975.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.91b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$939.0m in cash and US$715.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.24b.
仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到Illumina的負債爲97500萬美元,12個月內到期,超過12個月到期的負債爲29.1億美元。 抵消這些,Illumina有93900萬美元的現金和71500萬美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。 所以其負債超出了現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和22.4億美元。
Given Illumina has a humongous market capitalization of US$22.8b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
考慮到Illumina的市值高達228億美元,很難相信這些負債構成了太大威脅。 話雖如此,很明顯我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況變壞。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們使用兩個主要指標來告知我們債務水平與盈利的關係。第一個是淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,而第二個是其息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用(或其利息覆蓋,簡稱)。這種方法的優點在於我們考慮了債務的絕對數量(通過淨債務與EBITDA比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息費用(通過其利息覆蓋比率)。
Illumina has net debt of just 1.4 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And it boasts interest cover of 7.3 times, which is more than adequate. Although Illumina made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated US$338m in EBIT over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Illumina's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Illumina的淨負債僅爲EBITDA的1.4倍,這表明它絕對不是個魯莽的借款人。 而且它的利息保障倍數爲7.3倍,這足夠充足。 儘管Illumina去年在EBIT層面出現了虧損,但我們也很高興看到它在過去十二個月內生成了33800萬美元的EBIT。當分析負債時,資產負債表顯然是關鍵領域。 但決定Illumina未來維持健康資產負債表的,將是其未來的收益,而非其他。 所以如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Illumina actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最後,公司只能用真金白銀償還債務,而不是會計利潤。 因此,檢查其息稅前利潤(EBIT)有多少轉化爲實際的自由現金流是很重要的。 對於所有股東來說,Illumina實際上在過去一年中產生了比EBIT更多的自由現金流。 這種強大的現金轉化讓我們和人群在Daft Punk音樂會高潮來臨時一樣興奮。
Our View
我們的觀點
The good news is that Illumina's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And we also thought its interest cover was a positive. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Illumina takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that Illumina insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.
好消息是,Illumina展現了將EBIT轉換爲自由現金流的能力,讓我們感到像毛茸茸的小狗逗樂幼兒一樣開心。我們還認爲,它的利息覆蓋率也是一個積極的信號。綜合考慮所有這些數據,我們認爲Illumina對待債務的態度相當理智。這意味着他們承擔了一些額外的風險,以期提高股東收益。如果我們發現Illumina的內部人士最近購買了股票,我們會被激勵進一步研究這隻股票。如果你也感興趣,那麼你真幸運,因爲今天我們將免費分享我們的內部交易報告清單。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。
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這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。