Earnings Are Growing at Alexander & Baldwin (NYSE:ALEX) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
Earnings Are Growing at Alexander & Baldwin (NYSE:ALEX) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. We regret to report that long term Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (NYSE:ALEX) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 19% in three years, versus a market return of about 29%.
作爲投資者,努力確保你的整體投資組合超過市場平均水平是值得追求的。但幾乎可以肯定的是,有時候你會購買收益低於市場平均水平的股票。我們很遺憾地報告,長揸愛歷山大與鮑德溫公司(紐交所:ALEX)股份的股東有過這樣的經歷,股價在三年內下跌了19%,而市場回報約爲29%。
With the stock having lost 4.2% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
由於該股票在過去一週損失了4.2%,值得關注該公司的業務表現並查看是否存在任何警示信號。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
在他的文章《Graham與Doddsville的超級投資者》中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映業務的價值。檢查市場情緒隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。
Although the share price is down over three years, Alexander & Baldwin actually managed to grow EPS by 25% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
儘管股價在三年內下跌,愛歷山大與鮑德溫實際上在此期間每年實現了25%的每股收益增長。這的確是一個謎,暗示可能存在某種暫時支撐股價的因素。或者,過去的增長預期可能是不合理的。
It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.
值得看看其他指標,因爲每股收益的增長似乎與股價下跌不匹配。
We note that the dividend seems healthy enough, so that probably doesn't explain the share price drop. On the other hand, the uninspired reduction in revenue, at 8.3% each year, may have shareholders ditching the stock. This could have some investors worried about the longer term growth potential (or lack thereof).
我們注意到分紅似乎相當健康,因此這可能並不能解釋股價下跌。另一方面,營業收入每年減少8.3%可能使股東拋售股票。這可能讓一些投資者擔心長期成長潛力(或缺乏潛力)。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的圖像中查看收益和營業收入隨時間的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。
We know that Alexander & Baldwin has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
我們知道亞歷山大 & 鮑德溫最近改善了其底線,但未來會怎麼樣呢?因此,我們建議查看這份免費的報告,顯示共識預測。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Alexander & Baldwin, it has a TSR of -7.4% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR綜合了任何分拆或折扣資本籌集的價值,以及任何分紅,基於假設這些分紅被再投資。可以說,TSR提供了更全面的股票回報圖景。在亞歷山大 & 鮑德溫的情況下,其過去3年的TSR爲-7.4%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。而且,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種背離,毫無疑問!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Alexander & Baldwin provided a TSR of 7.0% over the last twelve months. But that return falls short of the market. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 2% per year over five year. This suggests the company might be improving over time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Alexander & Baldwin has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
亞歷山大 & 鮑德溫在過去十二個月的總回報率爲7.0%。但這一回報未能達到市場水平。值得慶幸的是,這一增益實際上優於過去五年每年平均2%的年回報。這表明公司可能正在逐漸改善。雖然考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響非常重要,但還有其他因素更加重要。例如,風險 - 亞歷山大 & 鮑德溫有 3 個警告信號(還有1個不可忽視),我們認爲你應該了解。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你更傾向於查看其他公司——一個財務狀況可能更優的公司——那麼不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,它們已經證明能夠實現盈利增長。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。