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Gold Poised For Its Best Year In A Decade While Bitcoin Surges: Analysts Eye 2025 As A Golden Era For Precious Metal Amid Michael Saylor's Push For BTC As A Reserve Asset

Gold Poised For Its Best Year In A Decade While Bitcoin Surges: Analysts Eye 2025 As A Golden Era For Precious Metal Amid Michael Saylor's Push For BTC As A Reserve Asset

黄金有望迎来十年来的最佳年份,而比特币暴涨:分析师预计2025年将是黄金时代,迈克尔·塞勒推动比特币作为储备资产。
Benzinga ·  12/16 16:03

Analysts predict a good year for gold in 2025 after it's poised for the best annual performance in over a decade in 2024. However, Michael Saylor, co-founder and executive chairman of MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR), has called for a dramatic shift in U.S. economic strategy, urging the country to abandon gold as a reserve asset in favor of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC).

分析师预测黄金在2025年将迎来良好的一年,因为它在2024年即将迎来十多年来最佳的年度表现。然而,MicroStrategy Inc.(纳斯达克:MSTR)的联合创始人和执行主席迈克尔·赛勒呼吁美国经济战略发生戏剧性转变,敦促美国放弃将黄金作为储备资产,转而支持比特币(加密货币:BTC)。

What Happened: The World Gold Council in its 2025 outlook has outlined three scenarios for the precious metal in the upcoming year. According to them, gold will "remain rangebound" if existing market expectations are correct.

发生了什么:世界黄金协会在其2025年展望中列出了即将到来的金属的三种情景。根据它们的分析,如果现有市场预期正确,黄金将保持在一个范围内。

Explaining its rationale for the rangebound assertion, the council notes that "a combination of higher rates and lower economic growth could negatively affect investors and consumers."

解释其范围维持预言的理由,理事会指出,“更高的利率和较低的经济增长的组合可能对投资者和消费者产生负面影响。”

On the flip side, "significantly lower interest rates or a deterioration in geopolitics or market conditions will improve gold's performance."

另一方面,“显著降低的利率或地缘政治或市场条件的恶化将改善黄金的表现。”

JPMorgan has said that it expects gold prices to "find continued support from central banks, particularly in emerging markets. Critically, gold—the original safe-haven asset—can serve as an attractive hedge against both geopolitical risk and uncertainty around sovereign debt and deficits."

摩根大通表示,预计黄金价格将继续得到中央银行的支持,特别是在新兴市场。重要的是,黄金作为原始的避险资产,可以有效对冲地缘政治风险以及主权债务和赤字的不确定性。

Goldman Sachs, on the other hand, forecasts gold prices will reach $2,700 by early next year, "buoyed by interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and gold purchases by emerging market central banks. The metal could get an additional boost if the U.S. imposes new financial sanctions or if concerns mount about the U.S. debt burden."

高盛则预测黄金价格将在明年初达到2700美元,“受到联邦储备利率下调和新兴市场中央银行黄金购买的支撑。如果美国实施新的金融制裁或对美国债务负担产生更多担忧,这种金属可能获得额外的提振。”

Bitcoin Bulls Disagree

比特币多头持不同意见

Despite a largely positive outlook for gold in 2025, few Bitcoin bulls think differently. Speaking on an episode of the Galaxy Brains podcast, Saylor labeled gold as a "shiny dead rock."

尽管对2025年黄金的前景总体看好,但少数比特币多头看法相异。在一次Galaxy Brains播客的节目中,赛勒将黄金称为“闪闪发光的死石头。”

"If you want to elevate the U.S.'s economic leadership in the world, there are two very simple strategies," Saylor said. "Dump the gold and buy Bitcoin."

“如果你想提升美国在全球的经济领导地位,有两个非常简单的策略,”萨伊洛说。“抛售黄金,买入比特币。”

He suggested that replacing gold with Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset would allow the U.S. to demonetize gold—an asset heavily held by rival nations—and capitalize on Bitcoin's growth potential.

他建议用比特币替代黄金作为战略储备资产,这将使美国能够去货币化黄金——这一由竞争对手国家大量持有的资产——并利用比特币的增长潜力。

Price Action: Gold spot prices have risen by 28.63% year-to-date, according to Benzinga Pro data. This is gold's best performance since 2007 when gold surged by over 31%.

根据Benzinga Pro的数据,今年迄今黄金现货价格上涨了28.63%。这是黄金自2007年以来表现最好的年份,当时黄金上涨超过31%。

Here's how a few other gold ETFs have performed this year.

以下是其他一些黄金ETF今年的表现。

ETFs YTD Performance
Franklin Responsibly Sourced Gold ETF (NYSE:FGDL) 29.07%
iShares Gold Trust Micro (NYSE:IAUM) 28.52%
SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (NYSE:GLDM) 28.55%
Aberdeen Physical Gold Shares ETF (NYSE:SGOL) 28.46%
etf 今年迄今表现
富兰克林负责任采购黄金ETF(纽交所:FGDL) 29.07%
iShares 黄金 Trust Micro (纽交所:IAUM) 28.52%
SPDR 黄金 MiniShares Trust (纽交所:GLDM) 28.55%
阿伯丁实物黄金股票 ETF (纽交所:SGOL) 28.46%
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In comparison, Bitcoin ETFs have surged over four times during the same period.

相比之下,比特币 ETF 在同一时期内增长了四倍以上。

ETF YTD Performance
Franklin Responsibly Sourced Gold ETF (NYSE:FBTC) 138.83%
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust (NYSE:BITC) 123.13%
可交易ETF 今年迄今表现
富兰克林负责任来源黄金ETF (纽交所:FBTC) 138.83%
灰度比特币迷你Trust (纽交所:BITC) 123.13%
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Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

照片提供:shutterstock

译文内容由第三方软件翻译。


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