Oil Prices Dip Amid Supply Surplus Concerns In 2025
Oil Prices Dip Amid Supply Surplus Concerns In 2025
Oil prices edged lower on Friday as market concerns grew over a potential supply surplus in 2025, despite optimism regarding increased demand from major oil consumers such as the US and China.
儘管對美國和中國等主要石油消費國需求增加持樂觀態度,但市場對2025年可能出現供應過剩的擔憂導致週五油價小幅下跌。
The international benchmark Brent crude dropped 0.15% to settle at US$73.20 per barrel by 10:19 a.m. local time (0719 GMT), compared to the previous close of US$73.31. Similarly, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) declined 0.11% to US$69.71 per barrel from its prior session price of US$69.79.
國際基準布倫特原油價格下跌0.15%,至當地時間上午10:19(格林威治時間0719)每桶73.20美元,較前一交易日的73.31美元有所下降。同樣,西德克薩斯中級原油(WTI)也下跌0.11%,至每桶69.71美元,較前一交易日的69.79美元有所下降。
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global oil supply is expected to rise by 1.9 million barrels per day (bpd) to 104.8 million bpd in 2025, driven by non-OPEC+ producers, despite ongoing production cuts from OPEC+ members. Global oil demand, however, is anticipated to increase by only 1.08 million bpd to 103.9 million bpd, potentially leading to a supply surplus of nearly 900,000 bpd.
根據國際能源機構(IEA)的預測,全球石油供應預計在2025年將增加190萬桶每日(bpd),達到10480萬桶每日,這主要得益於非OPEC+生產國,儘管OPEC+成員國仍在繼續減產。然而,全球石油需求預計僅增加108萬桶每日,達到10390萬桶每日,這可能導致近90萬桶每日的供應過剩。
Additionally, a strengthening US dollar contributed to the downward pressure on oil prices. As the dollar gains value in anticipation of interest rate cuts, oil prices—pegged in US dollars—become more expensive for buyers using other currencies. The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, rose 0.14% to 106.84.
此外,美元走強也給油價帶來了下行壓力。隨着市場預期減息,美元升值,標價以美元計算的油價對使用其他貨幣的買家變得更加昂貴。美元指數衡量美元與一籃子主要貨幣的價值,增加0.14%,至106.84。
Despite these challenges, demand prospects from the US and China helped limit losses. Analysts expect global economic recovery in these regions to underpin oil prices, though volatility is likely as markets monitor geopolitical events and monetary policy changes.
儘管面臨這些挑戰,但來自美國和中國的需求前景有助於限制損失。分析師預計,這些地區的全球經濟復甦將支撐油價,儘管由於市場關注地緣政治事件和貨幣政策變化,波動性可能依然存在。
Brent crude and WTI prices are expected to remain sensitive to shifts in demand and production dynamics, as well as fluctuations in currency values.
布倫特原油和WTI價格預計將對需求和生產動態的變化以及貨幣價值的波動保持敏感。
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譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。