With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 10.2x in the Biotechs industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Alvotech's (NASDAQ:ALVO) P/S ratio of 8.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Has Alvotech Performed Recently?
Alvotech could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Keen to find out how analysts think Alvotech's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Alvotech's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Alvotech's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 45% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 117% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Alvotech is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of Alvotech's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
Having said that, be aware Alvotech is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Alvotech, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.