Incyte (NASDAQ:INCY) Shareholders Have Lost 22% Over 5 Years, Earnings Decline Likely the Culprit
Incyte (NASDAQ:INCY) Shareholders Have Lost 22% Over 5 Years, Earnings Decline Likely the Culprit
While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Incyte Corporation (NASDAQ:INCY) share price up 11% in a single quarter. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. After all, the share price is down 22% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.
虽然这对一些股东来说可能不够,但我们认为在一个季度内因塞特公司(纳斯达克:INCY)的股价上涨11%是件好事。 但在过去的五年里,这只股票的表现并不好。 毕竟,在此期间,股价下跌了22%,明显低于市场表现。
After losing 5.5% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
在过去一周下跌了5.5%之后,研究公司的基本面以查看我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么是值得的。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
虽然一些人仍然教授有效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过于反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性。一个不完美但简单的考虑市场对公司认知变化的方法是,将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价波动进行比较。
During the five years over which the share price declined, Incyte's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 38% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 5% compound annual share price fall. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve. The high P/E ratio of 420.09 suggests that shareholders believe earnings will grow in the years ahead.
在股价下跌的五年里,因塞特的每股收益(EPS)每年下降了38%。 每股收益的下降比股价年均下降5%更严重。因此,市场可能之前就已经预料到会下跌,或者它预计情况会好转。 420.09的高市盈率表明,股东相信未来几年收益将会增长。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到EPS如何随时间变化(点击图片可以发现具体数值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在买入或卖出股票之前,我们总是建议仔细审查历史增长趋势,详情请见这里。
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Incyte shareholders gained a total return of 11% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. But at least that's still a gain! Over five years the TSR has been a reduction of 4% per year, over five years. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Incyte , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
因塞特股东在一年内获得了总回报11%。但这个回报低于市场。然而至少这仍然是一个增长!在五年内,总回报率每年减少4%。所以这可能是该业务转变运势的一个迹象。我觉得长期观察股价作为业务表现的代理指标是非常有趣的。但是要真正深入了解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。比如,随时存在的投资风险的阴影。我们已识别出因塞特的两个警告信号,理解这些信号应该是你投资过程的一部分。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你更倾向于查看其他公司——一个财务状况可能更优的公司——那么不要错过这个免费的公司列表,它们已经证明能够实现盈利增长。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了当前在美国交易所上市股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。
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