Johnson Controls International (NYSE:JCI) Shareholders Have Earned a 18% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
Johnson Controls International (NYSE:JCI) Shareholders Have Earned a 18% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. For instance, the price of Johnson Controls International plc (NYSE:JCI) stock is up an impressive 104% over the last five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 15% gain in the last three months. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 9.0% in the last three months.
在购买某公司的股票后,最糟糕的结果(假设没有杠杆)就是你投入的所有资金都损失殆尽。但好的一面是,你可以在真的很好的股票上获利超过100%。例如,江森自控国际公司(纽交所:JCI)的股票在过去五年中上涨了令人印象深刻的104%。同时,股东们也感到高兴,因为在过去三个月中股价上涨了15%。但这可能与强劲的市场有关,过去三个月市场上涨了9.0%。
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
鉴于此,值得看看该公司的基本面是否一直是长期业绩的驱动因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之处。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
在他的文章《Graham-and-Doddsville超级投资者》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性反映业务价值的情况。一个有缺陷但合理的评估公司情绪变化的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
Over half a decade, Johnson Controls International managed to grow its earnings per share at 11% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 15% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.
在过去的五年中,江森自控国际公司每股收益以每年11%的速度增长。这一每股收益的增长低于股价每年15%的平均增幅。这表明市场参与者现在对公司有更高的评价。这一点并不令人惊讶,因为公司的增长记录是相当不错的。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到EPS如何随时间变化(点击图片可以发现具体数值)。
This free interactive report on Johnson Controls International's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
这份关于江森自控国际的营业收入、收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的开始,如果你想进一步调查这只股票。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Johnson Controls International, it has a TSR of 128% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报(TSR)与股价回报之间的差异。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而TSR则包括分红的价值(假设这些分红被再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的好处。因此,对于支付丰厚分红的公司来说,TSR通常远高于股价回报。以江森自控国际为例,其过去5年的TSR为128%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。公司支付的分红因此提升了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's good to see that Johnson Controls International has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 58% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 18%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Johnson Controls International .
很高兴看到江森自控国际在过去十二个月中给股东带来了58%的总股东回报。这其中还包括分红。这一收益比五年来的年均TSR18%还要好。因此,近期对公司的情绪似乎是积极的。考虑到股价势头持续强劲,可能值得仔细看看这只股票,以免错过机会。我发现从长远来看观察股价作为业务表现的代理是非常有趣的。但要真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该注意我们发现的江森自控国际的3个警告信号。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一样,那么你一定不想错过这份内部人士正在购买的被低估的小型股免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了当前在美国交易所上市股票的市场加权平均回报。
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