Is Gambling.com Group (NASDAQ:GAMB) A Risky Investment?
Is Gambling.com Group (NASDAQ:GAMB) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Gambling.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:GAMB) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
由伯克希尔哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李鲁毫不掩饰地表示:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。” 当你审视一家公司的风险时,自然会考虑其资产负债表,因为一旦业务崩溃,债务往往是相关的。 重要的是,Gambling.com集团有限公司(纳斯达克:GAMB)确实背负债务。 但更重要的问题是:这种债务带来了多大的风险?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务带来风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债变得风险很大,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格融资。 资本主义的一个重要组成部分是‘创造性破坏’的过程,失败的企业会被其银行无情清算。 然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须在低廉的股价下稀释股东股份,以便仅仅控制债务。 当然,很多公司使用债务来资助增长,并没有任何负面后果。 考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务一并考虑。
What Is Gambling.com Group's Debt?
Gambling.com集团的债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Gambling.com Group had debt of US$24.4m, up from none in one year. On the flip side, it has US$15.9m in cash leading to net debt of about US$8.53m.
下面的图像可以点击以获取更详细的信息,显示到2024年9月Gambling.com集团的债务为2440万美元,较一年前没有增长。 相对而言,它有1590万美元的现金,导致净债务约为853万美元。
How Healthy Is Gambling.com Group's Balance Sheet?
Gambling.com集团的资产负债表健康吗?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Gambling.com Group had liabilities of US$35.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$28.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$15.9m and US$18.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$28.7m.
仔细查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到Gambling.com集团有债务3530万美元,12个月内到期,还有债务2800万美元,超出这一期限。此外,它有现金1590万美元和1860万美元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,其债务超出了现金和(短期)应收账款的总和2870万美元。
Given Gambling.com Group has a market capitalization of US$465.5m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
鉴于Gambling.com集团的市值为46550万美元,很难相信这些债务构成太大威胁。然而,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的强度,因为它可能会随着时间而变化。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我们使用两个主要指标来告知我们债务水平与盈利的关系。第一个是净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,而第二个是其息税前利润(EBIT)覆盖其利息费用(或其利息覆盖,简称)。这种方法的优点在于我们考虑了债务的绝对数量(通过净债务与EBITDA比率)和与该债务相关的实际利息费用(通过其利息覆盖比率)。
Gambling.com Group has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.23. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 46.2 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Gambling.com Group has boosted its EBIT by 41%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Gambling.com Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Gambling.com集团的净债务与EBITDA的比率仅为0.23。而且其EBIT覆盖利息费用的倍数高达46.2倍。所以你可以说它的债务对它的威胁不比大象对老鼠的威胁大。此外,我们很高兴地报告Gambling.com集团的EBIT增长了41%,因此减少了未来债务偿还的隐忧。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定Gambling.com集团是否能随着时间的推移增强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Gambling.com Group's free cash flow amounted to 23% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
最后,虽然税务机关可能喜欢会计利润,但贷方只接受冷冰冰的现金。因此,逻辑的步骤是查看EBIT与实际自由现金流的比例。在过去三年中,Gambling.com集团的自由现金流占其EBIT的23%,低于我们的预期。这种微弱的现金转化使其更难以处理债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Happily, Gambling.com Group's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Gambling.com Group's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Gambling.com Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
值得庆幸的是,Gambling.com集团出色的利息覆盖率意味着它在债务方面占据优势。但从更严肃的角度来看,我们对其EBIT转化为自由现金流感到有些担忧。整体来看,我们认为Gambling.com集团的债务使用相当合理,我们对此并不担心。毕竟,合理的杠杆可以提升股本回报。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的信息最多。但最终,每家公司都可能包含资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,Gambling.com集团有1个我们认为您应该注意的警告信号。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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