Investing in Corteva (NYSE:CTVA) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 128% Gain
Investing in Corteva (NYSE:CTVA) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 128% Gain
When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. For instance, the price of Corteva, Inc. (NYSE:CTVA) stock is up an impressive 114% over the last five years. In the last week shares have slid back 2.4%.
当你买入一只股票时,总是有可能它的价格会下降100%。但积极的一面是,你可以在一只非常优秀的股票上获得远超过100%的收益。例如,Corteva, Inc.(纽交所:CTVA)的股票在过去五年里上涨了令人印象深刻的114%。在过去一周,股票价格回落了2.4%。
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
现在值得关注一下公司的基本面,因为这将帮助我们判断长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映的是投资者情绪,而不仅仅是基础业务表现。查看公司股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动,可以检视市场情绪是如何随时间而变化的。
During the five years of share price growth, Corteva moved from a loss to profitability. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.
在五年的股价增长中,Corteva从亏损转为盈利。这种转变可以成为一个拐点,证明强劲的股价上涨是合理的,就像我们在这里所看到的那样。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的图像显示了EPS随时间的变化(如果你点击图像,可以看到更详细的信息)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在买入或卖出股票之前,我们总是建议仔细审查历史增长趋势,详情请见这里。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Corteva, it has a TSR of 128% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。总股东回报包含任何分拆或折价融资的价值,以及任何分红,假设分红被再投资。因此,对于支付丰厚分红的公司而言,总股东回报通常远高于股价回报。在Corteva的情况下,其过去5年的总股东回报为128%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Corteva's TSR for the year was broadly in line with the market average, at 29%. That gain looks pretty satisfying, and it is even better than the five-year TSR of 18% per year. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Corteva better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Corteva that you should be aware of.
Corteva当年的总股东回报大致与市场平均水平一致,为29%。这一收益看起来相当令人满意,甚至比五年的每年18%的总股东回报更好。即使股价增长从此放缓,这项业务在长期内仍然值得关注。长时间跟踪股价表现总是很有意思。但是为了更好地了解Corteva,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们已经识别出Corteva 需要注意的两个警告信号。
We will like Corteva better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到一些大额内部人士买入,Corteva将受到更大的欢迎。在我们等待的过程中,请查看这份包含较少资本,近期有大量内部人士买入的被低估股票的免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了当前在美国交易所上市股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。
译文内容由第三方软件翻译。