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Amdocs Limited (NASDAQ:DOX) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

Amdocs Limited (NASDAQ:DOX) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

Amdocs有限公司(納斯達克:DOX)股票一直在下跌,但基本面看起來不錯:市場會在未來糾正股價嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  12/13 19:08

It is hard to get excited after looking at Amdocs' (NASDAQ:DOX) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.6% over the past month. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Amdocs' ROE today.

在看到Amdocs(納斯達克:DOX)最近的表現後,很難感到興奮,因爲其股票在過去一個月下跌了4.6%。然而,股票價格通常是由公司的財務狀況在長期內驅動,而在這種情況下,看起來相當可觀。特別是,我們今天將關注Amdocs的ROE。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股東權益回報率(ROE)是衡量公司價值增長和管理投資者資金有效性的一項指標。簡而言之,ROE展示了每一美元相對於股東投資所帶來的利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

淨資產收益率可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Amdocs is:

所以,根據上述公式,Amdocs的roe爲:

14% = US$496m ÷ US$3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

14% = 49600萬美金 ÷ 35億美金(基於截至2024年9月的過去12個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.14 in profit.

「回報」是年度利潤。這意味着每1美元的股東權益,公司產生了0.14美元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe與盈利增長有何關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定,ROE作爲公司未來收益的有效利潤產生指標。根據公司再投資或「保留」這些利潤的程度,以及其效率,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力。一般來說,在其他條件相同的情況下,具備高股東權益回報率和利潤留存的公司,其增長率通常高於不具備這些特徵的公司。

Amdocs' Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

Amdocs的盈利增長和14%的ROE

To start with, Amdocs' ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 13%. Despite this, Amdocs' five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that's limiting the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,Amdocs的ROE看起來是可以接受的。進一步來說,該公司的ROE與行業平均水平13%相似。儘管如此,Amdocs過去五年的淨利潤增長卻相當平穩。我們認爲,這可能有一些其他因素在影響公司的增長。例如,公司將其收益的很大一部分作爲分紅派息支付,或者面臨競爭壓力。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the industry grew its earnings by 6.4% over the last few years.

接下來,在與行業淨利潤增長比較時,我們發現行業在過去幾年中增長了6.4%的收益。

big
NasdaqGS:DOX Past Earnings Growth December 13th 2024
納斯達克GS:DOX過去的盈利增長 2024年12月13日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is DOX worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether DOX is currently mispriced by the market.

爲公司賦值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長相關。投資者了解市場是否已考慮到公司的預期盈利增長(或下降)是非常重要的。這有助於他們判斷股票在未來是光明還是黯淡。目前DOX的價值是多少?我們免費研究報告中的內在價值信息圖幫助可視化DOX當前是否被市場錯定價。

Is Amdocs Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Amdocs是否有效利用其盈利?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 35% (meaning the company retains65% of profits) in the last three-year period, Amdocs' earnings growth was more or les flat. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管在過去三年間,其中位派息比率爲35%(這意味着公司保留了65%的盈利),但Amdocs的盈利增長几乎沒有變化。因此,可能還有其他原因解釋這一點。例如,業務可能在下降。

Additionally, Amdocs has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 24% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 21% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

此外,Amdocs在至少十年的時間裏支付了分紅,這意味着公司的管理層決心支付分紅,即使這意味着幾乎沒有盈利增長。現有分析師的估計建議,該公司的未來派息比率預計將在未來三年內降至24%。而且,該公司ROE預計在同一時期內將上升至21%,這可以通過派息比率的下降來解釋。

Conclusion

結論

In total, it does look like Amdocs has some positive aspects to its business. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體來看,Amdocs的業務確實有一些積極的方面。然而,收益增長緩慢令人擔憂,特別是考慮到該公司的回報率較高,並且正在將大部分利潤再投資。看起來可能還有一些其他因素,並不完全在公司的控制之內,阻礙了增長。儘管如此,根據目前分析師的估計,我們發現公司的收益增長率預計將會有大幅改善。要了解有關該公司的最新分析師預測,請查看此公司分析師預測的可視化圖表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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