Is Compañía De Minas BuenaventuraA (NYSE:BVN) A Risky Investment?
Is Compañía De Minas BuenaventuraA (NYSE:BVN) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. (NYSE:BVN) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
受伯克希爾·哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理Li Lu坦言:『最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。』因此,聰明的錢知道債務通常涉及破產,這是評估公司風險的重要因素。值得注意的是,Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. (紐交所:BVN)確實有債務。但股東應該擔心其債務的使用嗎?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務帶來風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是通過自身的現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們確實經常看到負債公司的股東被迫稀釋,因爲貸款方迫使他們以低價籌集資本。通過替代稀釋,債務實際上可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的公司的極佳工具。當我們審視債務水平時,首先會考慮現金和債務水平的結合。
What Is Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA's Net Debt?
Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA had US$600.3m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$457.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$142.4m.
正如下方所示,Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA在2024年9月的債務爲60030萬美元,與前一年大致相同。您可以點擊圖表獲取更詳細的信息。然而,它有45790萬美元的現金抵消這筆債務,使得淨債務約爲14240萬美元。
How Strong Is Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA's Balance Sheet?
Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA的資產負債表有多強?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA had liabilities of US$444.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$978.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$457.9m in cash and US$255.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$709.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA的負債爲44400萬美元,12個月內到期,超出這個期限的負債爲97880萬美元。對此,它有45790萬美元的現金和25500萬美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比現金和近期應收賬款的總和高出70980萬美元。
This deficit isn't so bad because Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA is worth US$3.25b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
這個赤字並不算太糟,因爲Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA的估值爲32.5億美元,因而如果有需要,它可能籌集到足夠的資本來支撐其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們應該仔細檢查它是否能夠在不稀釋的情況下管理其債務。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我們使用兩個主要比率來了解相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨債務除以息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是它的息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出的次數(或者簡稱爲利息覆蓋率)。這樣,我們同時考慮債務的絕對數量以及所支付的利率。
Given net debt is only 0.41 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA's EBIT has low interest coverage of 2.2 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Notably, Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of US$196m in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
考慮到淨債務僅爲EBITDA的0.41倍,初看Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA的EBIT利息覆蓋率僅爲2.2倍令人驚訝。所以,雖然我們並不一定感到警覺,但我們認爲其債務絕非微不足道。值得注意的是,Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA在去年EBIT層面虧損,但在過去十二個月內改善爲正EBIT,達到19600萬美元。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上學到的關於債務的知識最多。但決定Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA未來保持健康資產負債表能力的,更多的是未來的收益。所以如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,展示分析師的利潤預測。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent year, Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA recorded free cash flow of 25% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
最後,儘管稅務機關可能非常喜歡會計利潤,但放貸者只接受現金。因此,檢查息稅前利潤(EBIT)有多少由自由現金流支持是值得的。查看最新的一年,Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA記錄的自由現金流爲其EBIT的25%,這低於我們的預期。對於償還債務來說,這並不好。
Our View
我們的觀點
Neither Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA's ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its net debt to EBITDA tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA that you should be aware of before investing here.
恩內公司對美洲礦業的能力以EBIT覆蓋其利息支出,或者EBIT轉化爲自由現金流讓我們對其承擔更多債務的能力缺乏信心。但其淨債務與EBITDA的比例卻講述了一個截然不同的故事,並表明一定的韌性。綜觀上述所有角度,我們認爲恩內公司對美洲礦業因債務而成爲一種有一定風險的投資。並非所有風險都是壞的,如果得以回報可以提升股價回報,但這份債務風險值得關注。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表外的風險。例如,我們發現美洲礦業存在1個警示信號,在此投資前你應該注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來發現我們獨家的淨現金成長股票列表。
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這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
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