Nutanix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NTNX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.8x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 5.8x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Nutanix's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
There hasn't been much to differentiate Nutanix's and the industry's revenue growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Nutanix.
How Is Nutanix's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Nutanix's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 15%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 53% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 16% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 20% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Nutanix's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Nutanix's P/S?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Nutanix, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Nutanix (1 is significant!) that you need to take into consideration.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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