It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy UGI Corporation (NYSE:UGI) For Its Next Dividend
It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy UGI Corporation (NYSE:UGI) For Its Next Dividend
Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that UGI Corporation (NYSE:UGI) is about to go ex-dividend in just three days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. This means that investors who purchase UGI's shares on or after the 16th of December will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 1st of January.
一些投资者依赖分红来增长财富,如果你是那些分红侦探中的一员,你可能会对UGI公司(纽交所:UGI)在仅三天后即将除息的消息感到兴趣。除息日发生在记录日的前一天,记录日是股东需要在公司账簿上才能收到分红的日期。除息日是一个重要的日期,因为在此日期及之后购买股票可能意味着交割延迟,不会显示在记录日上。这意味着,在12月16日或之后购买UGI股票的投资者将无法获得将在1月1日支付的分红。
The company's next dividend payment will be US$0.375 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of US$1.50 per share. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, UGI has a trailing yield of approximately 5.2% on its current stock price of US$28.64. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether UGI's dividend is reliable and sustainable. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.
该公司的下一个分红支付将为每股0.375美元,在过去12个月中,公司总共支付了每股1.50美元。看过去12个月的分红,UGI当前股票价格为28.64美元,具有约5.2%的持续收益率。如果你是为了分红而购买这项业务,你应该了解UGI的分红是否可靠和可持续。这就是为什么我们应该始终检查分红支付是否可持续,以及公司是否在增长。
Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. UGI paid out 118% of profit in the past year, which we think is typically not sustainable unless there are mitigating characteristics such as unusually strong cash flow or a large cash balance. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. It paid out 82% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is within usual limits but will limit the company's ability to lift the dividend if there's no growth.
分红通常来自公司收入,因此如果一家公司支付的分红超过其收益,则其分红通常面临更高的削减风险。UGI在过去一年中支付了118%的利润,我们认为这通常是不可持续的,除非存在减轻的特征,比如异常强劲的现金流或大量的现金余额。也就是说,即使是高度盈利的公司,有时也可能无法产生足够的现金支付分红,这就是我们应该始终检查分红是否由现金流覆盖的原因。它支付了82%的自由现金流作为分红,这在通常范围内,但如果没有增长,将限制公司的分红提升能力。
It's good to see that while UGI's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits, we'd be concerned. Extraordinarily few companies are capable of persistently paying a dividend that is greater than their profits.
很高兴看到UGI的分红虽然未被利润覆盖,但至少从现金的角度来看是可承受的。然而,如果公司反复支付超过其利润的分红,我们将会感到担忧。极少数公司能够持续支付超过其利润的分红。
Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.
点击此处查看公司的分红支付比率,以及分析师对其未来分红的估计。
Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?
收益和股息一直在增长吗?
When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. So we're not too excited that UGI's earnings are down 2.7% a year over the past five years.
当收益下降时,分红公司变得更加难以分析和安全持有。如果收益下降,公司被迫削减分红,投资者可能会看到他们投资的价值化为乌有。因此,我们对UGI过去五年收益下降2.7%并不感到太兴奋。
Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. UGI has delivered an average of 7.1% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. UGI is already paying out 118% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.
许多投资者将通过评估分红支付随时间变化的情况来评估公司的分红表现。根据过去10年的分红支付,UGI提供了平均每年7.1%的分红增长。在收益缩水的情况下,支付更高分红的唯一方法是支付更大比例的利润,从资产负债表支出现金,或借钱。UGI已经支付了118%的利润,考虑到收益下降,我们认为未来这一分红不太可能快速增长。
To Sum It Up
总结一下
Should investors buy UGI for the upcoming dividend? It's never fun to see a company's earnings per share in retreat. Additionally, UGI is paying out quite a high percentage of its earnings, and more than half its cash flow, so it's hard to evaluate whether the company is reinvesting enough in its business to improve its situation. Overall it doesn't look like the most suitable dividend stock for a long-term buy and hold investor.
投资者应该考虑买入UGI以获取即将到来的分红吗?看到公司的每股收益下滑是很不愉快的。此外,UGI支付了相当高比例的收益,并且其现金流的一半以上,因此很难评估公司是否在其业务中进行足够的再投资以改善其状况。总体来看,这似乎不是一个适合长期持有投资者的分红股票。
Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with UGI. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for UGI (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.
话虽如此,如果你在考虑这只股票时并不太关注分红,你仍然应该了解UGI所涉及的风险。例如,我们已发现UGI有3个警告信号(其中1个不能忽视),你应该意识到这些。
If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.
如果你在寻找强劲的分红支付股票,我们建议你查看我们精选的顶级分红股票。
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