We're Not Very Worried About NewAmsterdam Pharma's (NASDAQ:NAMS) Cash Burn Rate
We're Not Very Worried About NewAmsterdam Pharma's (NASDAQ:NAMS) Cash Burn Rate
We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. By way of example, NewAmsterdam Pharma (NASDAQ:NAMS) has seen its share price rise 166% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?
我們很容易理解爲什麼投資者會被虧損公司吸引。舉個例子,NewAmsterdam Pharma(納斯達克:NAMS)的股價在過去一年中上漲了166%,讓許多股東感到高興。但是,儘管歷史稱讚那些罕見的成功,但那些失敗的案例往往被遺忘;誰還記得Pets.com?
In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky NewAmsterdam Pharma's cash burn is. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
鑑於其強勁的股價表現,我們認爲現在是調查NewAmsterdam Pharma現金耗盡風險的好時機。就本文而言,現金耗盡是指一家虧損公司爲資助其增長而支出的現金年率;即其負的自由現金流。讓我們先檢查一下該公司的現金和其現金耗盡的關係。
Does NewAmsterdam Pharma Have A Long Cash Runway?
NewAmsterdam Pharma有足夠的現金儲備嗎?
A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at September 2024, NewAmsterdam Pharma had cash of US$423m and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was US$155m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from September 2024 it had 2.7 years of cash runway. Notably, analysts forecast that NewAmsterdam Pharma will break even (at a free cash flow level) in about 4 years. Essentially, that means the company will either reduce its cash burn, or else require more cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.
一家公司的現金儲備通過將其現金儲備與現金耗盡相除來計算。截至2024年9月,NewAmsterdam Pharma的現金爲42300萬美元,沒有債務。重要的是,其過去十二個月的現金耗盡爲15500萬美元。因此,從2024年9月起,它有2.7年的現金儲備。值得注意的是,分析師預測NewAmsterdam Pharma將在大約4年內實現盈虧平衡(在自由現金流水平上)。這基本上意味着公司要麼減少其現金耗盡,要麼需要更多現金。下圖顯示了其現金持有量隨時間的變化。
How Well Is NewAmsterdam Pharma Growing?
NewAmsterdam Pharma的增長情況如何?
NewAmsterdam Pharma actually ramped up its cash burn by a whopping 91% in the last year, which shows it is boosting investment in the business. While that isa little concerning at a glance, the company has a track record of recent growth, evidenced by the impressive 79% growth in revenue, over the very same year. Considering the factors above, the company doesn't fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
實際上,NewAmsterdam Pharma在過去一年中將其現金耗盡提高了驚人的91%,這表明它在增加對業務的投資。雖然乍一看這有些令人擔憂,但公司有着近期增長的良好記錄,過去一年營業收入增長了79%。考慮到以上因素,在評估公司隨時間變化的表現時,該公司的表現並不糟糕。然而,關鍵因素顯然是公司未來是否能夠發展業務。因此,你可能想看看該公司在未來幾年預計會增長多少。
How Easily Can NewAmsterdam Pharma Raise Cash?
新阿姆斯特丹製藥公司能多容易地籌集資金?
There's no doubt NewAmsterdam Pharma seems to be in a fairly good position, when it comes to managing its cash burn, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.
毫無疑問,新阿姆斯特丹製藥在管理其現金消耗方面似乎處於相當良好的位置,但即使這只是一個假設問題,詢問它能多容易地籌集更多資金以支持增長也是值得的。公司可以通過債務或股權來募集資本。上市公司的主要優勢之一是它們可以向投資者出售股票以籌集現金和支持增長。通過查看公司的現金消耗與其市值的關係,我們可以洞察如果公司需要籌集足夠的現金來覆蓋另一年的現金消耗,股東會被稀釋多少。
NewAmsterdam Pharma has a market capitalisation of US$1.7b and burnt through US$155m last year, which is 9.0% of the company's market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.
新阿姆斯特丹製藥公司的市值爲17億美元,去年消耗了15500萬美元,這佔公司市場價值的9.0%。鑑於這個比例相對較小,因此公司通過向投資者發行一些新股票,甚至通過貸款來資助另一年的增長可能會非常容易。
So, Should We Worry About NewAmsterdam Pharma's Cash Burn?
那麼,我們應該擔心新阿姆斯特丹製藥的現金消耗嗎?
As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about NewAmsterdam Pharma's cash burn. For example, we think its revenue growth suggests that the company is on a good path. Although we do find its increasing cash burn to be a bit of a negative, once we consider the other metrics mentioned in this article together, the overall picture is one we are comfortable with. One real positive is that analysts are forecasting that the company will reach breakeven. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for NewAmsterdam Pharma that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.
如你所見,我們對新阿姆斯特丹製藥的現金消耗並不是太擔心。例如,我們認爲其營業收入增長表明公司正在走上良好的道路。儘管我們發現其不斷增加的現金消耗有些負面,但一旦我們將本文中提到的其他指標結合起來考慮,整體情況是我們感到舒適的。一個真正的積極因素是,分析師預測公司將實現盈虧平衡。考慮到本文討論的所有因素,我們對公司的現金消耗並不太擔心,儘管我們認爲股東應該關注它的發展。在投資股票之前,讀者需要充分了解業務風險,我們發現了新阿姆斯特丹製藥的三個警告信號,潛在股東在投入資金之前應考慮這些信號。
Of course NewAmsterdam Pharma may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
當然,新阿姆斯特丹製藥可能不是最佳的買入股票。因此,您可能希望查看這份高股本回報率公司的免費集合,或是這份內部人持股高的股票列表。
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這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
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