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U.S. Stock Outlook | The three major futures are mixed, Citigroup predicts the S&P 500 could reach a high of 6900 points next year; Chinese concept stocks and ETFs are generally down in pre-market trading, with YINN falling over 11%.

Futu News · Dec 10, 2024 21:35

热点要闻

周二美股盘前，三大期指涨跌不一

明星科技股盘前普涨，谷歌涨超3%

加密货币概念股盘前多数上涨， $MicroStrategy (MSTR.US)$、 $Coinbase (COIN.US)$、$MARA Holdings (MARA.US)$纷纷涨超1%。

热门中概股多数回落，哔哩哔哩跌超8%，蔚来、百济神州跌超4%

中国资产ETF盘前普跌， $3倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion (YINN.US)$跌超11%

英伟达回应被立案调查：很乐意回答监管对我们的任何问题

今日，对于被监管立案调查一事， $英伟达 (NVDA.US)$ 方面回应新浪科技称：“NVIDIA凭借实力取胜，这反映在我们的基准测试结果和对客户的价值上，客户可以选择任何最适合他们的解决方案。我们努力在每个地区提供最好的产品，并在我们开展业务的任何地方履行我们的承诺。我们很乐意回答监管机构对我们业务的任何问题。”

谷歌A盘前涨超3%，消息称公司量子芯片WILLOW实现重大技术突破

$谷歌-A (GOOGL.US)$盘前涨超3%。据悉，谷歌公司量子芯片Willow实现了两项重大技术突破。第一，Willow解决了30多年来一个关键难题，可以在使用更多量子比特进行扩展时指数级地减少错误；第二，Willow在量子计算方面实现宇宙级突破。

甲骨文盘前跌超6%，Q2财报低于预期，云计算业务稳健增长

$甲骨文 (ORCL.US)$盘前跌超6%，业绩显示，第二财季营收为141亿美元，同比增长9%。备受关注的云基础设施业务的营收跃升52%，至24亿美元。截至11月30日，剩余履约债务为970亿美元，低于上一季度的991亿美元。不计部分项目的每股收益为1.47美元，低于市场预期的1.48美元。云计算总营收(包括基础设施和应用程序)为59亿美元。低于分析师平均估计的60亿美元。

AI芯片需求推动！台积电11月销售同比增长34%，但环比转负

受AI芯片需求推动，$台积电 (TSM.US)$11月销售额总体呈强劲增长势头，但环比出现了负增长，市场对数据中心建设放缓的担忧仍存。12月10日周二，台积电公布11月的销售情况。11月销售额2760.6亿元台币，同比增长34%，环比下降12.2%。尽管略低于分析师对本季度同比增长36.3%的预测，但台积电在今年的股价表现依然强劲，上涨了约80%。

“AI软件热门股”C3.ai盘前跌近7%，此前一度涨超9%，Q2业绩超预期，上调财年营收指引

$C3.ai (AI.US)$盘前跌近7%，此前一度涨超9%。业绩显示，该公司Q2营收为9430万美元，较去年同期增长29%，高于分析师预估的9100万美元。经调整后EPS亏损6美分，而分析师预计亏损16美分。预计本财年营收将在3.78亿美元至3.98亿美元之间，高于此前的预期。

此外，对于第三季度，C3.ai预计营收将在9550万美元至1.05亿美元之间，中间值9800万美元略高于分析师预估的9750万美元。

盘前涨近3%，MicroStrategy再买21亿美元比特币

$MicroStrategy (MSTR.US)$盘前涨近3%，昨日该公司再度买入了21亿美元比特币。根据美国SEC一份文件，MicroStrategy在12月2日至8日期间以约98,783美元的平均价格购买了21,550个比特币。这是MicroStrategy连续第五个周一宣布购买数字资产。该公司联合创始人兼董事长决定，这家小型企业软件制造商需要走上一条不同的生存之路。

盘前涨超1%，波音据称已重启737 MAX生产线，但全面恢复产能仍需时日

$波音 (BA.US)$盘前涨超1%，据媒体援引消息人士报道，波音公司上周重启了其畅销机型737 MAX喷气式客机的生产线。美国联邦航空管理局（FAA）局长迈克·惠特克上周四在接受媒体采访时表示，波音尚未恢复737 MAX的生产，但计划在本月晚些时候重启生产。据知情人士透露，波音已于上周五恢复生产。

盘前涨超3%，索尼开盘将再刷阶段新高

$索尼 (SONY.US)$盘前涨超3%，股价开盘势再刷新阶段新高。消息上，在宣布截至9月的三个月业绩强劲后，索尼股价最近几周一直在大幅上涨。公司上调了截至2025年3月的收入预测，预计游戏收入高于先前的预期。此外，索尼计划剥离其保险和网上银行部门，为专注于核心娱乐业务。

$uniQure NV (QURE.US)$盘前涨超70%，与FDA达成协议，确定AMt-130加速审批路径的关键要素

医药公司$坎伯兰药业 (CPIX.US)$盘前涨超135%，FDA批准公司肝脏药物Acetadote申请

通用数据平台公司$MongoDB (MDB.US)$盘前跌逾8%，公司第三季度业绩低于分析师预期

英伟达遭反垄断调查，昨日有大户6000万美元对冲下跌风险

涉嫌违反中国反垄断法被调查，$英伟达 (NVDA.US)$隔夜跌近3%，期权成交量有所上升，看涨比63.4%与前一日大致持平。最热门的期权交易是本周五到期、145美元行权的call。值得注意的是，有大单在股价为138.44美元时卖出一笔26年12月18日到期、123美元行权的call单，涉资近6000万美元，对冲股价下跌风险。

全球宏观

花旗展望2025年：标普500最高可达6900，美联储降息周期不中断

投资者普遍预期美股在2025年会进一步上涨，但在花旗看来，鉴于市场估值已经很高，投资者应该为更多的波动做好准备。花旗策略师预计，明年标普500指数在基准情景下的目标价为6500，牛市情景下为6900点，熊市情景下为5100点。他们的基本预测在华尔街属于谨慎的阵营，其他投行的预测范围在6400点到7000点之间。

美国消费者预期通胀上升，但对个人财务前景保持乐观

根据纽约联储周一发布的报告，尽管美国消费者预计未来几年通胀水平将有所上升，他们对个人财务状况的改善持乐观态度。纽约联储在11月的消费者预期调查中显示，消费者预期一年后的通胀率为3%，高于10月的2.9%；三年后的通胀率预计为2.6%，也略高于上月的2.5%。五年后的通胀率预期从10月的2.8%升至2.9%。

美国港口忙翻天！关税和罢工威胁逼近，零售商掀起囤货狂潮

美国零售联合会(NRF)周一表示，美国繁忙的港口在11月和12月的货运量上升了一个台阶，入境货运量将创下新纪录。由于假日购物季临近和全球航运瓶颈，美国零售商已经开始提前采购，但明年1月中旬港口罢工的前景以及当选总统唐纳德·特朗普计划提高关税，促使大型进口商加快采购。

赤字令人担忧！债券巨头Pimco：砍仓长期美债，转向中短债和海外债券

太平洋投资管理公司（Pimco）宣布，由于美国财政状况的恶化，其对长期美国国债的投资态度趋于保守。公司将更倾向于购买短期和中期的美国国债，而减少对长期国债的配置。周一，Pimco首席投资官进一步表示，美国联邦预算赤字在截至9月30日的财政年度增长了8%，达到1.8万亿美元。他们表示，赤字的扩大导致债务水平从高位进一步上升，使得长期国债面临更大的利率风险。

美股盘前成交额TOP20

美股宏观事历提醒

（以下均为北京时间）

次日凌晨

01:00 EIA公布月度短期能源展望报告

05:30 美国至12月6日当周API原油库存(万桶)

编辑/ping

Hot News

On Tuesday, in Pre-Market Trading for the USA stocks, the three major futures indices showed mixed results.

Growth Tech stocks rose broadly in Pre-Market Trading, with Alphabet-A up over 3%.

Most cryptos concept stocks rose in Pre-Market Trading. $MicroStrategy (MSTR.US)$、 $Coinbase (COIN.US)$、$MARA Holdings (MARA.US)$All rose by more than 1%.

Most China Concept Stocks fell back, with Bilibili down over 8%, NIO and BEIGENE down over 4%.

China ETF pre-market trading fell broadly. $Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares ETF (YINN.US)$Fell over 11%.

NVIDIA responded to being investigated: We are happy to answer any regulatory questions about us.

Today, regarding the regulatory investigation matter. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ In response to Sina Technology, it was stated: "NVIDIA wins with strength, which is reflected in our benchmark results and the value we provide to customers. Customers can choose any solution that best suits them. We strive to provide the best products in every region and fulfill our commitments wherever we do business. We are happy to answer any questions from regulators regarding our business."

Alphabet-A rose over 3% in Pre-Market Trading, with news that the company's quantum chip WILLOW has achieved a significant technological breakthrough.

$Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$It rose over 3% in Pre-Market Trading. It is reported that Alphabet's quantum chip Willow has achieved two significant technical breakthroughs. First, Willow solved a key challenge that has persisted for more than 30 years, enabling an exponential reduction in errors when scaling with more qubits; second, Willow achieved a cosmic-level breakthrough in quantum computing.

Oracle fell more than 6% in Pre-Market Trading, with Q2 Earnings Reports below expectations, while the Cloud Computing business shows robust growth.

$Oracle (ORCL.US)$It fell over 6% in Pre-Market Trading, with performance showing that second quarter revenue was $14.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9%. The highly watched cloud infrastructure business saw revenue jump 52% to $2.4 billion. As of November 30, the remaining performance obligations were $97 billion, down from $99.1 billion in the previous quarter. The adjusted EPS was $1.47, below the market expectation of $1.48. Total revenue from Cloud Computing (including infrastructure and applications) was $5.9 billion, below the analysts' average estimate of $6 billion.

Demand for AI Chips drives growth! Taiwan Semiconductor's sales in November increased by 34% year-on-year, but declined month-on-month.

Driven by demand for AI Chips,$Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$In November, overall sales showed strong growth momentum, but there was a month-on-month decline, and concerns about a slowdown in datacenter construction remain. On Tuesday, December 10, Taiwan Semiconductor announced the sales figures for November. November sales were 276.06 billion **** dollars, up 34% year-on-year, but down 12.2% month-on-month. Although slightly lower than analysts' forecast of 36.3% year-on-year growth for this quarter, Taiwan Semiconductor's stock performance this year remains strong, increasing by about 80%.

The "AI Software Hot Stocks" C3.ai fell nearly 7% in pre-market trading after earlier rising over 9%, with Q2 results exceeding expectations, raising fiscal year revenue guidance.

$C3.ai (AI.US)$Falling nearly 7% in pre-market trading after earlier rising over 9%. The results showed the company generated $94.3 million in revenue for Q2, a 29% increase from the same period last year, exceeding analysts' estimate of $91 million. Adjusted EPS showed a loss of 6 cents, while analysts expected a loss of 16 cents. Revenue for this fiscal year is expected to be between $0.378 billion and $0.398 billion, higher than previous expectations.

Additionally, for the third quarter, C3.ai expects revenue to be between $95.5 million and $0.105 billion, with a midpoint of $98 million slightly higher than analysts' estimate of $97.5 million.

In Pre-Market Trading, an increase of nearly 3%, MicroStrategy bought another 2.1 billion dollars worth of Bitcoin.

$MicroStrategy (MSTR.US)$In Pre-Market Trading, an increase of nearly 3%, the company purchased another 2.1 billion dollars worth of Bitcoin yesterday. According to a document from the USA SEC, MicroStrategy purchased 21,550 Bitcoins at an average price of about 98,783 dollars between December 2 and 8. This is the fifth consecutive Monday that MicroStrategy has announced the purchase of digital assets. The co-founder and director of the company decided that this small business software manufacturer needs to take a different path to survive.

In Pre-Market Trading, an increase of over 1%, Boeing has reportedly restarted its 737 MAX production line, but a full recovery of capacity will still take time.