Is Keyera Stock a Buy for Its 4.6% Dividend Yield?
Is Keyera Stock a Buy for Its 4.6% Dividend Yield?
Keyera (TSX:KEY) is an integrated energy infrastructure company that gathers, processes, stores, and transports natural gas and natural gas liquids. It also provides high-quality, value-added services to customers across North America. The company has outperformed the broader equity markets this year, with returns of 47.3%. Falling interest rates and solid financials have boosted the company's stock price. It also pays a quarterly dividend of $0.52/share, translating into a forward dividend yield of 4.6%.
Keyera(多伦多证券交易所股票代码:KEY)是一家综合能源基础设施公司,负责收集、处理、储存和运输天然气和液化天然气。它还为北美各地的客户提供高质量的增值服务。该公司今年的表现超过了整个股票市场,回报率为47.3%。利率下降和稳健的财务状况提振了公司的股价。它还支付每股0.52美元的季度股息,相当于4.6%的远期股息收益率。
Let's assess its recent quarterly performance and growth prospects to determine whether investors could buy Keyera for its 4.6% dividend yield.
让我们评估其最近的季度表现和增长前景,以确定投资者是否可以以4.6%的股息收益率收购Keyera。
Keyera's third-quarter performance
Keyera第三季度业绩
Keyera reported an impressive third-quarter performance last month, with its adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) growing by 12.1% to $322.24 million. It generated $260.2 million of funds from operations, representing a 9.5% increase from the previous year. Growth across its three segments – Gathering and Processing, Liquids Infrastructure, and Marketing – boosted its operating margin by 49.9%.
Keyera上个月公布了令人印象深刻的第三季度业绩,调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润(扣除利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益)增长了12.1%,达到3.2224亿美元。它从运营中获得了2.602亿美元的资金,比上年增长了9.5%。其三个板块(收集和加工、液体基础设施和营销)的增长使其营业利润率提高了49.9%。
The Gathering and Processing segment's operating margin grew 9% during the quarter due to capacity expansion at the Pipestone gas plant and the absence of $16 million in wildfire-related expenses, which the company incurred in the previous year's quarter.
由于Pipestone天然气厂的产能扩张以及该公司在上一季度没有1600万美元的野火相关支出,采集和加工板块的营业利润率在本季度增长了9%。
The operating margin of the Liquids Infrastructure segment grew 9.8% due to higher storage contribution and contracted volumes at the Keyera Fort Saskatchewan complex.
液体基础设施板块的营业利润率增长了9.8%,这要归因于Keyera Fort Saskatchewan综合大楼的存储贡献和合同量的增加。
The company's Marketing segment, which purchases and sells natural gas liquids, crude oil, and iso-octane, posted an operating margin of $190.8 million, representing a 175% increase from the previous quarter. Increased volume, higher realized price, and unrealized gains from risk management contracts boosted its operating margin.
该公司的营销部门负责购买和销售液化天然气、原油和异辛烷,其营业利润率为1.908亿美元,比上一季度增长175%。交易量的增加、已实现价格的上涨以及风险管理合同的未实现收益提高了其营业利润率。
Now, let's look at its growth prospects.
现在,让我们来看看它的增长前景。
Keyera's growth prospects
Keyera的增长前景
In the Gathering and Processing segment, Keyera continues to operate its gas plants at full capacity, thus driving its throughput. With its North region gas plants connecting to the KAPS pipeline system, these facilities have a competitive advantage in providing integrated gas processing, natural gas liquids, and condensate services.
在采集和加工领域,Keyera继续满负荷运营其天然气发电厂万亿美元以提高其吞吐量。由于其北部地区的天然气发电厂连接到KAPS管道系统,这些设施在提供综合气体处理、液化天然气和冷凝水服务方面具有竞争优势。
Moreover, the company continues strengthening its Liquids Infrastructure segment amid rising demand for fractionation services in Western Canada. It plans to add two fractionation units at the Fort Saskatchewan complex, increasing Keyera's net fractionation capacity to 155,000 barrels per day. Amid these growth initiatives, the company's management projects its adjusted EBITDA (keeping the Marketing segment constant) to grow at an annualized rate of 6–7% through 2025.
此外,在加拿大西部对分馏服务的需求不断增长的情况下,该公司继续加强其液体基础设施板块。它计划在萨斯喀彻温堡综合体增加两个分馏装置,将Keyera的净分馏能力提高到每天15.5万桶。在这些增长举措中,该公司的管理层预计,到2025年,其调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润(保持营销部门不变)的年化增长率将达到6-7%。
Keyera's financial position also looks healthy, with liquidity of $1.5 billion. At the end of the third quarter, its net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA stood at 1.9, well below its target of 2.5–3.
Keyera的财务状况看起来也很健康,流动性为15亿美元。在第三季度末,其净债务与调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润为1.9,远低于2.5—3的目标。
Dividend and valuation
股息和估值
With around 65% of its cash flows underpinned by fee-for-service and take-or-pay contracts, Keyera generates healthy cash flows, irrespective of broader market conditions. Supported by these stable cash flows, the company has raised its dividends at 6% CAGR (Compound annual growth rate) since 2008. Its payout ratio has been healthy at 53% in 2023. Given its low-risk contracted business, growth initiatives, and healthy financial position, I expect Keyera to continue its dividend growth in the coming years.
Keyera约65%的现金流由收费服务合同和要么接受或付款的合同支撑,无论大盘条件如何,都能产生健康的现金流。在这些稳定的现金流的支持下,该公司自2008年以来已将其股息提高到6%的复合年增长率(复合年增长率)。到2023年,其派息率一直保持在53%。鉴于其低风险的合同业务、增长计划和健康的财务状况,我预计Keyera将在未来几年继续其股息增长。
Moreover, Keyera's valuation looks attractive, with its NTM (next 12 months) price-to-sales and enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiples at 1.5 and 12, respectively. Considering its consistent dividend growth, healthy growth prospects, and cheaper valuation, I believe Keyera would be an excellent buy now.
此外,Keyera的估值看起来很有吸引力,其nTM(未来12个月)的市值与销售额和企业价值与息税折旧摊销前利润的倍数分别为1.5和12。考虑到其持续的股息增长、健康的增长前景和更低的估值,我认为Keyera现在将是一个不错的收购。
译文内容由第三方软件翻译。