AXIS Capital Holdings Limited's (NYSE:AXS) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.6x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 20x and even P/E's above 36x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times have been advantageous for AXIS Capital Holdings as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on AXIS Capital Holdings.
How Is AXIS Capital Holdings' Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like AXIS Capital Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 15% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 61% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 60% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it odd that AXIS Capital Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that AXIS Capital Holdings currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for AXIS Capital Holdings with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than AXIS Capital Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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