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We Think General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲通用動力(紐交所:GD)能夠保持在債務之上
Simply Wall St ·  12/09 20:55

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, General Dynamics Corporation (NYSE:GD) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李錄(查理·芒格支持的)曾說過:『最大投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。』 在審視一家公司的風險時,考慮其資產負債表是很自然的,因爲在企業倒閉時,往往會涉及債務。 重要的是,通用動力公司(紐交所:GD)確實有債務。但這對股東來說是個問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資金還是靠自身的現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償還債權人,就可能會破產。然而,較常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,它不得不以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務在企業中可以是一種重要工具,特別是在資本密集型的企業中。當考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要查看其現金和債務的總和。

How Much Debt Does General Dynamics Carry?

通用動力的債務有多少?

As you can see below, General Dynamics had US$9.27b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has US$2.10b in cash leading to net debt of about US$7.17b.

如您所見,截至2024年9月,通用動力的債務爲92.7億美元,與前一年大致相同。您可以點擊圖表獲取更詳細的信息。另一方面,它有21億美元的現金,導致淨債務約爲71.7億美元。

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NYSE:GD Debt to Equity History December 9th 2024
紐交所:GD債務與權益歷史 2024年12月9日

A Look At General Dynamics' Liabilities

通用動力的負債分析

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that General Dynamics had liabilities of US$19.6b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$14.8b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$2.10b as well as receivables valued at US$12.0b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$20.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到通用動力在12個月內的負債爲196億美元,超過12個月的負債爲148億美元。抵消這些義務,它有21億美元的現金,以及價值120億美元的應收賬款,這些應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出202億美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since General Dynamics has a huge market capitalization of US$74.6b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

雖然這似乎很多,但情況並不糟糕,因爲通用動力擁有746億美元的龐大市值,因此如果需要,它可能通過籌集資本來增強其資產負債表。但是,仔細觀察其償還債務的能力仍然是值得的。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要比率來了解債務相對於收入的水平。首先是淨債務除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是其稅前利潤(EBIT)可以覆蓋利息支出的倍數(或簡稱爲利息覆蓋率)。 這種方法的優勢在於我們既考慮了債務的絕對量(淨債務與EBITDA)又考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(利息覆蓋比)。

General Dynamics's net debt is only 1.3 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 13.9 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. And we also note warmly that General Dynamics grew its EBIT by 15% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if General Dynamics can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

通用動力的淨債務僅是其EBITDA的1.3倍。而且其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋利息支出,達到了其規模的13.9倍。因此,可以說它的債務對它的威脅,就像大象對老鼠的威脅一樣。我們還溫暖地注意到通用動力去年EBIT增長了15%,使其債務負擔更易於處理。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學習到的債務信息最多。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定通用動力能否隨着時間的推移增強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想看到專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, General Dynamics produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 77% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲公司不能用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要冷硬的現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是查看EBIT的比例與實際自由現金流的匹配程度。在過去三年中,通用動力產生了堅挺的自由現金流,佔其EBIT的77%,大致符合我們的預期。這一自由現金流使公司在適當的時候處於良好的償還債務的境地。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, General Dynamics's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Zooming out, General Dynamics seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that General Dynamics insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.

值得欣慰的是,通用動力的強大利息覆蓋率意味着它在債務方面處於有利地位。好消息不止於此,因爲其EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力也支持了這一印象!放眼全局,通用動力似乎非常合理地使用債務,這讓我們贊成。畢竟,合理的槓桿可以提升股本回報。當然,如果我們知道通用動力的內部人士一直在買入股票,那額外的信心也是可取的:如果你有同樣的想法,可以通過點擊此鏈接查看內部人士是否在買入。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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