Earnings Beat: Zumiez Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Earnings Beat: Zumiez Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
As you might know, Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ:ZUMZ) recently reported its quarterly numbers. Revenues were US$222m, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at US$0.06, an impressive 125% ahead of estimates. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
正如您所知,zumiez公司(NASDAQ: ZUMZ)最近公布了其季度财报。营业收入为22200万美元,与分析师预期基本一致,尽管合并股份的每股收益(EPS)超出了预期,达到0.06美元,比预期高出125%。盈利是投资者重要的时刻,因为他们可以追踪公司的表现,研究分析师对明年的预测,并查看市场对该公司的情绪是否有变化。因此,我们收集了最新的财报后预测,以了解未来一年的预期。

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Zumiez's four analysts is for revenues of US$915.0m in 2026. This reflects an okay 2.6% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Zumiez is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$0.84 per share. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$922.6m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.81 in 2026. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.
考虑到最新的结果,zumiez的四位分析师的共识预测为2026年的营业收入为91500万美元。这反映了与过去12个月相比营收改善了2.6%。预计zumiez也将实现盈利,每股盈利为0.84美元。在这份报告发布之前,分析师一直在预测2026年的营业收入为92260万美元,每股盈利为0.81美元。分析师似乎对该业务更看好,根据他们的新每股盈利预测。
The consensus price target fell 7.8% to US$23.50, suggesting the increase in earnings forecasts was not enough to offset other the analysts concerns. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Zumiez at US$25.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$22.00. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.
共识价目标下调7.8%至23.50美元,这表明盈利预测的增加不足以抵消其他分析师的担忧。然而,过度关注单一价目标可能是不明智的,因为共识价目标实际上是分析师价目标的平均值。因此,一些投资者喜欢查看估算范围,看是否存在关于公司估值的不同意见。目前,最看好的分析师看好zumiez每股25.00美元,而最看淡的价值为每股22.00美元。凭借如此窄范围的估值,分析师显然对他们认为这家公司价值多少有相似看法。
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Zumiez is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 2.1% annualised growth until the end of 2026. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 3.6% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 4.7% per year. So although Zumiez's revenue growth is expected to improve, it is still expected to grow slower than the industry.
现在从更广泛的角度来看,了解这些预测的方式之一是将它们与过去的表现和行业增长预测进行比较。这些预测中有一个突出的因素是,zumiez公司预计未来增长速度将快于过去,预计到2026年底,营业收入预计将以2.1%的年增长率增长。如果实现,这将比过去五年的平均年减少3.6%要好得多。相比之下,我们的数据显示,预计在类似行业中的其他受分析师关注的公司,其营业收入每年将增长4.7%。因此,尽管预计zumiez的营业收入增长将会改善,但仍预计增长速度会低于行业。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Zumiez's earnings potential next year. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Zumiez's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.
对我们来说最重要的一点是,共识每股收益升级,这表明了对 zumiez 明年收益潜力情绪的明显改善。幸运的是,分析师们还重申了他们的营业收入预估,表明其与预期保持一致。尽管我们的数据确实显示,zumiez 的营业收入预计将低于整个行业。此外,分析师们还下调了他们的目标价格,表明最新的资讯导致了对业务内在价值更大的悲观情绪。
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Zumiez analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
在此思路延伸之后,我们认为业务的长期前景比明年的收益更为重要。我们有来自多位 zumiez 分析师的估算,截至2027年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Zumiez , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.
话虽如此,考虑到投资风险这个永恒的威胁仍然是必要的。我们已经发现了 zumiez 的1个警示信号,了解这一点应该成为您投资过程的一部分。
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