Those holding Clarivate Plc (NYSE:CLVT) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 29% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Clarivate's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Professional Services industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Clarivate's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Clarivate could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Clarivate.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Clarivate would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.6%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 45% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 1.6% per year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 7.7% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Clarivate's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does Clarivate's P/S Mean For Investors?
Clarivate's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Given that Clarivate's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Clarivate that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Clarivate's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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