Stagnating Palm Oil Production Set To Drive Prices Higher, CPOPC Warns
Stagnating Palm Oil Production Set To Drive Prices Higher, CPOPC Warns
The Council of Palm Oil Producing Countries (CPOPC) predicts that palm oil prices could range between RM4,000 and RM5,000 per tonne in 2025, driven by stagnating production in major markets like Indonesia and Malaysia. According to CPOPC deputy secretary-general Datuk Nageeb Wahab, the global demand for palm oil is set to rise, but stagnating production could lead to a supply shortage, which in turn will push prices higher.
棕櫚油生產國理事會(CPOPC)預測,棕櫚油價格在2025年可能在每噸4000至5000馬幣的區間內波動,這主要是由於印度尼西亞和馬來西亞等主要市場的生產停滯。根據CPOPC副秘書長Datuk Nageeb Wahab的說法,全球對棕櫚油的需求將會增加,但生產停滯可能會導致供應短缺,從而推高價格。
Nageeb pointed out that the current price level of around RM5,000 per tonne might be temporary, largely influenced by the ongoing floods in Malaysia, which have strengthened market sentiment. He also noted that production stagnation, exacerbated by ageing plantations, unpredictable weather, and limited expansion into new areas, will further strain global supply, driving prices upwards.
Nageeb指出,目前約每噸5000馬幣的價格水平可能是暫時的,這主要受到馬來西亞持續洪水的影響,洪水加大了 市場情緒他還提到,因老化種植園、不可預測的天氣以及有限的擴展到新區域而加劇的生產停滯,將進一步加劇全球供應的緊張,推動價格上漲。
CPOPC currently comprises Malaysia, Indonesia, Honduras, and Papua New Guinea as full members, with Colombia, Ghana, Nigeria, and the Democratic Republic of Congo as observer members. Nageeb revealed that efforts are being made to include Thailand, the world's third-largest palm oil producer. If successful, this would mean that CPOPC member nations would control 93 to 95 per cent of global palm oil production, significantly increasing their influence in the market.
CPOPC目前包括馬來西亞、印度尼西亞、洪都拉斯和巴布亞新幾內亞作爲正式成員,哥倫比亞、加納、尼日利亞和剛果民主共和國作爲觀察員成員。Nageeb透露,正在努力將世界第三大棕櫚油生產國泰國納入其中。如果成功,這將意味着CPOPC成員國將控制93%到95%的全球棕櫚油生產,從而大大增強其市場影響力。
"We will have a stronger voice," Nageeb said.
「我們將擁有更強的發言權,」Nageeb說。
Established on Nov 21, 2015, CPOPC is an intergovernmental organisation aimed at fostering cooperation among palm oil-producing nations.
CPOPC於2015年11月21日成立,是一個旨在促進棕櫚油生產國之間合作的政府間組織。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。