Is Five9 (NASDAQ:FIVN) A Risky Investment?
Is Five9 (NASDAQ:FIVN) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Five9, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVN) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
有人說,作爲投資者,最好的風險思考方式是波動性,而不是債務,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過'波動性與風險遠非同義詞。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致滅頂之災。 重要的是,five9股份有限公司(NASDAQ:FIVN) 確實有債務。 但更重要的問題是:這筆債務帶來了多大風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務在企業能夠利用新資本或者自由現金流償還之前,可以協助企業。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償付其債權人,可能會破產。然而,更普遍(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須在便宜的股票價格下稀釋股東,以便控制債務。當然,負債的好處在於它通常代表着廉價的資本,特別是當負債代替了在具有高回報率的公司上重新投資的稀釋時。當我們思考一個公司對債務的使用時,我們首先看現金和債務結合在一起。
How Much Debt Does Five9 Carry?
Five9負擔了多少債務?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Five9 had debt of US$1.16b, up from US$741.2m in one year. However, it also had US$966.7m in cash, and so its net debt is US$197.2m.
下面的圖片您可以點擊查看更詳細信息,顯示2024年9月,Five9的債務爲11.6億美元,比一年前74120萬美元增加。 然而,它也有96670萬美元的現金,因此其淨債務爲19720萬美元。
A Look At Five9's Liabilities
五9的負債情況
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Five9 had liabilities of US$650.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$792.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$966.7m as well as receivables valued at US$122.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$352.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表看到,Five9的即將到期負債爲6.5億美元,而到期時間更長的負債爲7.92億美元。 抵消這些債務的是,它擁有96670萬美元的現金以及價值12290萬美元的應收賬款,到期日在12個月內。 因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出35270萬美元。
Given Five9 has a market capitalization of US$3.12b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Five9's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
考慮到Five9的市值爲31.2億美元,很難相信這些負債會帶來多大威脅。 話雖如此,很明顯我們應繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況變得更糟。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。 但最終決定Five9未來能否保持健康的資產負債表,更多的是未來收益。 因此,如果想知道專業人士的看法,可能會對分析師盈利預測的免費報告感興趣。
Over 12 months, Five9 reported revenue of US$1.0b, which is a gain of 14%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
在過去12個月中,Five9報告的營業收入爲10億美元,增長了14%,儘管其未報告任何利息和稅前收入。 我們通常希望看到未盈利公司有更快的增長,但這是各有所好。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
Over the last twelve months Five9 produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost US$55m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$37m. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Five9 has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
在過去12個月中,Five9在利息和稅前收入(EBIT)方面出現虧損。 實際上,它在EBIT層面上虧損了5500萬美元。 當我們看到這一點並回想起其資產負債表上的負債相對於現金的情況時,我們認爲公司有任何債務都是不明智的。 因此,我們認爲它的資產負債表有點緊張,儘管情況並非無法挽回。 例如,我們不希望看到去年3700萬美元的虧損重演。 因此坦率地說,我們認爲存在風險。 毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解到大部分有關債務的信息。 但並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。 例如 - Five9有一個警告標誌,我們認爲您應該注意。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切塵埃落定時,有時更容易專注於那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費查看零淨債務的成長股列表。
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