It's not a stretch to say that Designer Brands Inc.'s (NYSE:DBI) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Specialty Retail industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Designer Brands' Recent Performance Look Like?
Designer Brands could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Designer Brands will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Designer Brands?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Designer Brands' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.1% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 9.9% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 1.6% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 4.4%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Designer Brands is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From Designer Brands' P/S?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of Designer Brands' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Designer Brands has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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