With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 20x in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Kimberly-Clark Corporation's (NYSE:KMB) P/E ratio of 17.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Recent times have been advantageous for Kimberly-Clark as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Kimberly-Clark will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Does Growth Match The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Kimberly-Clark's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 48% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 32% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 1.9% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Kimberly-Clark's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From Kimberly-Clark's P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Kimberly-Clark's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Kimberly-Clark you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Kimberly-Clark's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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