These 4 Measures Indicate That Coeur Mining (NYSE:CDE) Is Using Debt Extensively
These 4 Measures Indicate That Coeur Mining (NYSE:CDE) Is Using Debt Extensively
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Coeur Mining, Inc. (NYSE:CDE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
由巴菲特的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露直言不諱地表示,『最大投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。』因此,聰明的錢知道,債務——通常與破產相關——是評估一家公司的風險性時非常重要的因素。我們注意到,科爾黛倫礦業公司(紐交所:CDE)確實在其資產負債表上有債務。但這些債務對股東來說是一個擔憂嗎?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果企業無力償還債務,它的存在就取決於債權人。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一文不值。然而,一種更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以盯住清倉價的方式發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以挽救其資產負債表。話雖如此,在大多數情況下,一家公司合理管理其債務,從而使其受益。考慮企業使用多少債務的第一件事是看其現金和債務的總額。
What Is Coeur Mining's Net Debt?
科爾黛倫礦業的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Coeur Mining had US$514.9m of debt, up from US$443.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$76.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$438.0m.
如您所見,到2024年9月底,科爾黛倫礦業的債務爲51490萬美元,比一年前的44300萬美元有所增加。點擊圖片以查看更多詳細信息。不過,它有7690萬美元的現金抵消這些債務,導致淨債務約爲43800萬美元。
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How Healthy Is Coeur Mining's Balance Sheet?
科爾黛倫礦業的資產負債表健康嗎?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Coeur Mining had liabilities of US$318.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$826.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$76.9m in cash and US$30.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.04b.
仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到科爾黛倫礦業負有31810萬美元在12個月內到期的負債,以及82660萬美元在之後到期的負債。抵消這些負債,它擁有7690萬美元的現金和3020萬美元在12個月內到期的應收賬款。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和10.4億美元。
Coeur Mining has a market capitalization of US$2.58b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
科爾黛倫礦業的市值爲25.8億美元,因此如果需要,它很可能會籌集資金來改善其資產負債表。但顯然我們應該認真審查它是否能夠在不稀釋股份的情況下管理其債務。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
爲了衡量公司債務相對於其收入的規模,我們計算其淨債務除以利息、稅收、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),並計算其利息前稅利潤(EBIT)除以利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。這樣,我們考慮了債務的絕對金額,以及支付的利率。
Even though Coeur Mining's debt is only 1.9, its interest cover is really very low at 1.9. In large part that's it has so much depreciation and amortisation. These charges may be non-cash, so they could be excluded when it comes to paying down debt. But the accounting charges are there for a reason -- some assets are seen to be losing value. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Notably, Coeur Mining made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of US$87m in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Coeur Mining can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
儘管科爾黛倫礦業的債務僅爲1.9,但其利息覆蓋率確實非常低,僅爲1.9。這在很大程度上是因爲它有如此多的折舊和攤銷。這些費用可能是非現金費用,因此在償還債務時可以排除。但會計費用存在是有原因的——一些資產被視爲在貶值。無論如何,可以肯定地說該公司有相當大的債務。值得注意的是,科爾黛倫礦業在去年的EBIt水平上虧損,但在過去12個月改善至正的EBIt爲8700萬美元。毫無疑問,我們最了解債務來自資產負債表。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定科爾黛倫礦業是否能夠隨着時間推移增強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Coeur Mining burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最後,業務需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決這個問題。因此,值得檢查息稅前利潤(EBIT)中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去的一年中,科爾黛倫礦業消耗了大量現金。雖然投資者無疑期待這種情況會在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更高。
Our View
我們的觀點
On the face of it, Coeur Mining's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its net debt to EBITDA is not so bad. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Coeur Mining has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Coeur Mining , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
乍一看,科爾黛倫礦業的利息覆蓋率讓我們對其股票感到猶豫,它的EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的表現也並沒有比一年中最繁忙的夜晚裏那家空蕩蕩的餐廳更吸引人。 但至少它的淨債務與EBITDA的比例還算不錯。 總的來說,我們認爲可以公平地說,科爾黛倫礦業的債務足夠高,這使得資產負債表周圍存在一些真正的風險。如果一切順利,這可能會有回報,但這筆債務的下行風險是造成永久性損失的更大風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個明顯的起點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都僅限於資產負債表——遠非如此。我們已識別出科爾黛倫礦業的兩個警告信號,理解這些信號應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切塵埃落定時,有時更容易專注於那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費查看零淨債務的成長股列表。
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