Here's Why Clarivate (NYSE:CLVT) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Here's Why Clarivate (NYSE:CLVT) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Clarivate Plc (NYSE:CLVT) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:「波動性與風險遠非同義詞。」 當我們思考一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看它使用的債務,因爲債務過載可能導致滅亡。 正如許多其他公司一樣,Clarivate Plc(紐交所:CLVT)使用債務。 但這種債務是否會令股東擔憂?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般來說,在公司難以輕鬆償還債務(無論是通過募集資金還是通過自有現金流)時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的一個固有特徵就是「創造性摧毀」過程,其中失敗的企業被它們的銀行家無情地清算。但一個更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以便宜的股價稀釋股東權益,以控制債務。當然,債務的好處在於,它往往代表着廉價的資本,特別是當它用於代替以高投資回報率重新投資的公司時。考慮一家企業使用多少債務時,最初要做的事情是查看其現金和債務總額。
What Is Clarivate's Net Debt?
Clarivate的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Clarivate had debt of US$4.63b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from US$4.84b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$380.8m, its net debt is less, at about US$4.24b.
下面的圖片顯示,Clarivate在2024年9月底的債務爲46.3億美元,比一年前的48.4億美元減少。 但由於它有38080萬美元的現金儲備,它的淨債務較少,約爲42.4億美元。
How Healthy Is Clarivate's Balance Sheet?
Clarivate的資產負債表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Clarivate had liabilities of US$1.53b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$4.99b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$380.8m and US$771.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$5.36b.
深入研究最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到Clarivate在12個月內到期的負債爲15.3億美元,而12個月後到期的負債爲49.9億美元。另一方面,其現金爲38080萬美元,應收賬款則有77180萬美元,均爲一年內到期。因此,其負債超過現金和(短期)應收賬款總和53.6億美元。
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$3.96b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
考慮到這一不足超過公司39.6億美元的市值,你可能會傾向於仔細審視資產負債表。假設公司被迫以當前股價籌集資本來償還其負債,可能需要極大的稀釋。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
爲了衡量公司債務相對於其收入的規模,我們計算其淨債務除以利息、稅收、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),並計算其利息前稅利潤(EBIT)除以利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。這樣,我們考慮了債務的絕對金額,以及支付的利率。
While we wouldn't worry about Clarivate's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.3, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.91 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Notably, Clarivate's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, which isn't ideal given the debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Clarivate's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
雖然我們不擔心Clarivate的淨債務與息稅折舊及攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比率爲4.3,但我們認爲其極低的利息覆蓋率爲0.91倍是高槓杆的跡象。似乎公司產生了大量的折舊和攤銷費用,因此其債務負擔可能比表面看起來更重,因爲EBITDA可以說是盈利的一種寬泛衡量標準。因此股東可能應該意識到利息支出最近似乎真的影響了業務。值得注意的是,過去一年,Clarivate的EBIT增長非常平緩,考慮到債務負擔,這並不理想。毫無疑問,我們對於債務最多是從資產負債表上獲得信息。但未來收益,遠比任何事情都將決定Clarivate保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你關注未來,您可以查看一份免費報告,顯示分析師的利潤預測。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Clarivate actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
最後,雖然稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冰冷的現金。所以我們總是查看EBIt中有多少被轉化爲自由現金流。令股東欣喜的是,Clarivate實際上在過去三年內生產的自由現金流比EBIt還要多。這種強勁的現金生成方式讓我們像穿着蜜蜂服的小狗一樣感到溫暖。
Our View
我們的觀點
On the face of it, Clarivate's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Clarivate's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Clarivate that you should be aware of before investing here.
表面上看,Clarivate的總負債水平讓我們對股票感到猶豫,而其利息支出覆蓋率也不像一年中最繁忙的晚上只有一個空餐廳那麼吸引人。但從好的一面來看,它將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力是一個好跡象,使我們更加樂觀。一旦我們綜合考慮以上所有因素,我們覺得Clarivate的債務使其有些風險。有些人喜歡這種風險,但我們考慮到潛在的風險,可能更希望它負債更少。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上學到了大部分關於債務的信息。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表之內——遠非如此。例如,我們發現了Clarivate的1個警示跡象,在您投資之前應該注意這一點。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
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