Is Helen of Troy (NASDAQ:HELE) A Risky Investment?
Is Helen of Troy (NASDAQ:HELE) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Helen of Troy Limited (NASDAQ:HELE) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
霍华德·马克斯(Howard Marks)的观点表达得非常好,他说,与其担心股价的波动性,'我担心的是永久性损失的可能性... 我认识的每个实际投资者都担心这一点。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致毁灭。 我们可以看到海伦特洛伊家电有限公司(纳斯达克HELE)在其业务中使用债务。 但这笔债务是否让股东担忧?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无力偿还其贷款人,那么企业就处于贷款人的掌控之下。最坏的情况下,公司无法偿付其债权人,就会破产。然而,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以超低价格发行股票,永久性稀释股东,以支持其资产负债表。当然,有很多公司使用债务资助增长,没有任何负面影响。考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务合并考虑。
How Much Debt Does Helen of Troy Carry?
海伦特洛伊家电负债多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Helen of Troy had US$713.5m of debt in August 2024, down from US$844.9m, one year before. However, it also had US$22.6m in cash, and so its net debt is US$690.9m.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但图表显示海伦特洛伊家电在2024年8月的债务为71350万美元,低于一年前的84490万美元。 但同时,它还有2260万美元的现金,因此净债务为69090万美元。
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How Strong Is Helen of Troy's Balance Sheet?
海伦特洛伊家电的资产负债表有多强?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Helen of Troy had liabilities of US$508.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$804.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$22.6m and US$381.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$909.2m.
通过最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到海伦特洛伊有50870万美元的负债在12个月内到期,而超过12个月到期的负债为80410万美元。另一方面,它有2260万美元的现金和38100万美元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它的负债超过其现金和(近期)应收账款的总和达90920万美元。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Helen of Troy has a market capitalization of US$1.64b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
虽然这看起来很多,但因为海伦特洛伊的市值为16.4亿美元,所以如果需要的话,它可能通过筹集资本来加强资产负债表。但很明显,我们绝对应该仔细检查它是否能在不稀释的情况下管理好债务。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
通过查看公司的净债务与利息、税、折旧、摊销前利润(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息费用(利息覆盖率)可以衡量一个公司的债务负担与收益能力。因此,我们考虑将债务与有无计算折旧和摊销费用的收益相对比。
Helen of Troy has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.5 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.4 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Unfortunately, Helen of Troy saw its EBIT slide 9.3% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Helen of Troy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
海伦特洛伊的债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)比率为2.5,且它的息税前利润(EBIT)覆盖了利息支出的4.4倍。这一整体看来表明,虽然我们不希望看到债务水平上升,但我们认为它可以应对目前的负债杠杆。不幸的是,海伦特洛伊在过去12个月里看到其EBIT下降了9.3%。如果这一盈利趋势持续下去,那么其债务负担将变得沉重,就像北极熊看着自己的幼崽一样。毫无疑问,我们绝大多数了解债务都来源于资产负债表。但更重要的是,未来盈利将决定海伦特洛伊是否能维持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,你可以查看这份显示分析师盈利预测的免费报告。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Helen of Troy recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,值得检查的是EBIT有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在最近的三年里,海伦特洛伊的自由现金流价值相当于其EBIT的73%,这在正常范围内,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税。这笔冷硬现金意味着在需要时它可以减少债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Neither Helen of Troy's ability to grow its EBIT nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Helen of Troy's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Helen of Troy you should know about.
海伦特洛伊家电的EBIt增长能力及其总负债水平并未让我们对其承担更多债务产生信心。 但是,将EBIt转化为自由现金流的能力讲述了一个截然不同的故事,并表明了一些韧性。 我们认为海伦特洛伊家电的债务在综合考虑了上述数据点之后使其有点风险。 这并不一定是坏事,因为杠杆可以提升股本回报率,但这是需要注意的问题。 当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要重点关注的领域。 但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。 这些风险可能很难发现。 每家公司都存在这些风险,我们已经发现了海伦特洛伊家电的1个警告信号,这是您应该了解的。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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