Is Ralph Lauren (NYSE:RL) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Ralph Lauren (NYSE:RL) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Ralph Lauren Corporation (NYSE:RL) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍华德·马克斯很好地表达了这一觮,他说,与其担心股价波动,'我担心的是永久损失的可能性...我认识的每位实际投资者都会担心这一点。'因此,看起来明智的投资者知道负债-通常与破产有关-是评估公司风险的一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到拉夫劳伦公司(纽交所:RL)确实在业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否使公司变得更加风险。
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般来说,当公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为一个真正的问题,公司只能通过筹集资本或凭借自己的现金流来偿还债务。在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人的债务,那么可能会破产。然而,更常见的情况是需要以低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久性地稀释股东的股份。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表了廉价的资本,特别是当债务取代向具有高回报率的公司再投资而造成的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是看其现金和债务的总和。
What Is Ralph Lauren's Net Debt?
拉夫劳伦的净债务是多少?
As you can see below, Ralph Lauren had US$1.14b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$1.69b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$548.2m.
如下所示,拉夫劳伦在2024年9月的债务为11.4亿美元,与前年差不多。您可以点击图表查看更详细的信息。然而,它有16.9亿美元的现金来抵消这笔债务,导致净现金为54820万美元。
How Healthy Is Ralph Lauren's Balance Sheet?
拉夫劳伦的资产负债表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ralph Lauren had liabilities of US$2.09b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.27b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.69b and US$643.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.02b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
深入了解最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以发现拉夫劳伦在12个月内到期的负债为20.9亿美元,而在此后到期的负债为22.7亿美元。另一方面,它手头有16.9亿美元的现金和64370万美元一年内到期的应收账款。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款多了20.2亿美元。
Given Ralph Lauren has a humongous market capitalization of US$13.2b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Ralph Lauren boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
考虑到拉夫劳伦市值高达132亿美元,很难相信这些负债会构成多大威胁。但是有足够的负债需要股东继续关注其资产负债表的情况。尽管其有相当可观的负债,拉夫劳伦拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Ralph Lauren has boosted its EBIT by 52%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ralph Lauren's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
此外,我们很高兴地报道,拉夫劳伦已将其EBIt增加了52%,从而减轻了未来债务偿还的压力。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但更重要的是未来收入,这将决定拉夫劳伦维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您想知道专业人士的看法,您可能会发现分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Ralph Lauren has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Ralph Lauren recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为一家公司无法用纸面利润偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。虽然拉夫劳伦在资产负债表上有净现金,但仍然值得查看其将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们理解它是如何快速积累(或侵蚀)现金余额的。在最近的三年中,拉夫劳伦录得的自由现金流价值为其EBIt的73%,这是正常水平,考虑到自由现金流不含利息和税。这笔冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。
Summing Up
总之
Although Ralph Lauren's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$548.2m. And we liked the look of last year's 52% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Ralph Lauren's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Ralph Lauren , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
虽然拉夫劳伦的资产负债表并不是特别强,由于总负债,它的净现金达到了54820万美元。而且,我们喜欢去年52%的年度EBIt增长。所以,我们认为拉夫劳伦的债务使用并不冒险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中最了解债务。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。我们已经确定了拉夫劳伦的2个警告信号,并理解它们应该成为您投资过程中的一部分。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
当一切尘埃落定时,有时更容易专注于那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费查看零净债务的成长股列表。
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