We Think St. Joe (NYSE:JOE) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think St. Joe (NYSE:JOE) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies The St. Joe Company (NYSE:JOE) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
戴維·艾本說得很對:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免永久性資本損失。」 當您檢查公司的風險程度時,考慮公司的資產負債表是理所當然的,因爲在企業倒閉時通常涉及債務。 與許多其他公司一樣,St. Joe公司(紐交所:JOE)使用債務。 但真正的問題是這些債務是否使該公司具有風險。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果一家企業無法償還其債權人的款項,則存在於債權人的掌控之下。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所有。然而,一個更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低價籌集新的股本資本,從而永久稀釋股東。通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。考慮企業使用多少債務的第一件事是看其現金和債務的總體情況。
What Is St. Joe's Net Debt?
什麼是St. Joe的淨負債?
As you can see below, St. Joe had US$621.7m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$82.7m, its net debt is less, at about US$539.0m.
正如您所見,2024年9月份,St. Joe的債務爲62170萬美元,幾乎與前一年持平。 您可以點擊圖表查看更詳細信息。 但由於它擁有8270萬美元的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約爲53900萬美元。
How Strong Is St. Joe's Balance Sheet?
聖約瑟夫的資產負債表有多堅實?
The latest balance sheet data shows that St. Joe had liabilities of US$49.8m due within a year, and liabilities of US$766.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$82.7m and US$46.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$686.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,聖約瑟夫有4980萬美元的短期到期負債,76620萬美元的長期到期負債。另一方面,它有8270萬美元的現金和4660萬美元的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款合計多68660萬美元。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since St. Joe has a market capitalization of US$2.95b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
雖然這可能看起來很多,但不算太糟糕,因爲聖約瑟夫的市值爲29.5億美元,所以如果需要的話,它可能通過籌集資本來加強資產負債表。然而,仍然值得密切關注其償還債務的能力。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
通過查看公司的淨債務與利息、稅、折舊、攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息費用(利息覆蓋率)可以衡量一個公司的債務負擔與收益能力。因此,我們考慮將債務與有無計算折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對比。
St. Joe has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.1 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.3 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Fortunately, St. Joe grew its EBIT by 4.1% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since St. Joe will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
聖約瑟夫的負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比率爲4.1,且其EBIT覆蓋其利息費用的倍數爲4.3。這表明雖然債務水平相當高,但我們不會認爲其有問題。幸運的是,聖約瑟夫去年的EBIT增長了4.1%,相對於收入,其債務在慢慢減少。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時要重點關注的區域。但不能孤立看待債務;因爲聖約瑟夫將需要盈利來償還債務。因此,如果您渴望了解更多關於其盈利的信息,不妨查看其長期盈利趨勢圖。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, St. Joe recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 97% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
最後,公司只能用現金而不是會計利潤償還債務。因此,邏輯上的下一步是查看EBIT中實際自由現金流的比例。在過去三年中,聖約瑟夫記錄的自由現金流價值達到了其EBIT的97%,這比我們通常預期的要強。這使其在清償債務方面處於非常強大的位置。
Our View
我們的觀點
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for St. Joe was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit handle its debt, based on its EBITDA,. Considering this range of data points, we think St. Joe is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for St. Joe you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
談到資產負債表,聖喬的一個顯著優點是,它似乎能夠自信地將EBIt轉換爲自由現金流。 但我們上面提到的其他因素並不令人鼓舞。 例如,根據其EBITDA,它似乎必須努力處理一點債務。 考慮到這一系列數據點,我們認爲聖喬有能力管理其債務水平。 但需要警惕的是:我們認爲債務水平足夠高,需要持續監控。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。 但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。 以公司爲例:我們發現了聖喬的2個警告信號,您應該注意其中1個,另一種不應忽視。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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