We Think CBAK Energy Technology's (NASDAQ:CBAT) Robust Earnings Are Conservative
We Think CBAK Energy Technology's (NASDAQ:CBAT) Robust Earnings Are Conservative
CBAK Energy Technology, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CBAT) earnings announcement last week was disappointing for investors, despite the decent profit numbers. We did some digging and actually think they are being unnecessarily pessimistic.
中比能源科技公司(纳斯达克:CBAT)上周的财报令投资者感到失望,尽管利润数据表现不错。我们进行了一些调查,认为他们的悲观情绪是不必要的。
A Closer Look At CBAK Energy Technology's Earnings
中比能源科技的盈利情况详解
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如金融迷所知,现金流量的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与盈利状况匹配程度的重要指标。要获得应计比率,我们首先要将某个时期的FCF从盈利中减去,然后将该数字除以该时期的平均经营资产。这个比率告诉我们公司多少盈利没有由自由现金流备支。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,负的应计比率对公司来说是积极的,而正的应计比率则是消极的。虽然应计比率高于零并不值得担心,但当公司有相对较高的应计比率时,我们认为这值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇论文:“应计比率较高的公司未来往往利润较低”。
CBAK Energy Technology has an accrual ratio of -0.19 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$38m, well over the US$11.5m it reported in profit. Given that CBAK Energy Technology had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of US$38m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
中比能源科技截至2024年9月的应计比率为-0.19。因此,其法定盈利远低于其自由现金流。实际上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告的自由现金流为3800万美元,远高于报告的1150万美元的利润。考虑到中比能源科技在前一对应期间的自由现金流为负,最近十二个月的结果3800万美元似乎是朝着正确方向迈出的一步。然而,还有其他值得考虑的因素。我们可以看到,飞凡项目对其法定利润产生了影响,因此也影响了应计比率。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常规项目如何影响利润?
CBAK Energy Technology's profit was reduced by unusual items worth US$9.4m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. CBAK Energy Technology took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.
中比能源的利润在过去十二个月因飞凡项目减少了940万美元,这帮助其实现了高现金转换,这在其飞凡项目中得到了体现。可以预见到,公司有非现金费用减少账面利润。看到飞凡项目拖累公司的利润并不是什么好事,但从好的一面看,情况可能会好转得更快。我们调查了数千家上市公司,发现飞凡项目往往是一次性的。这并不奇怪,因为这些项目被视为飞凡。中比能源在截至2024年9月的年度中受到飞凡项目的明显影响。其他因素相同的情况下,这可能会导致法定利润看起来比其潜在盈利能力更糟糕。
Our Take On CBAK Energy Technology's Profit Performance
我们对中比能源利润表现的看法
Considering both CBAK Energy Technology's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. Based on these factors, we think CBAK Energy Technology's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or probably even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing CBAK Energy Technology at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for CBAK Energy Technology you should be aware of.
考虑到中比能源的应计比率和其飞凡项目,我们认为其法定盈利可能不会夸大公司的潜在盈利能力。基于这些因素,我们认为中比能源的潜在盈利能力和法定利润所显示的一样好,甚至可能更好!因此,尽管盈利质量很重要,但同样要考虑中比能源当前面临的风险。举个例子:我们发现中比能源有2个需要注意的警告信号。
After our examination into the nature of CBAK Energy Technology's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在我们对中比能源利润性质的考察后,我们对这家公司持乐观态度。但还有很多其他方式来形成你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的良好迹象。所以你可能想查看这份免费收集的高股本回报率公司的名单,或者这份拥有高内部持股的股票列表。
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