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Here's Why Emerson Electric (NYSE:EMR) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Emerson Electric (NYSE:EMR) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

這是爲什麼艾默生電氣(紐交所:EMR)能夠負責任地管理其債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/25 23:04

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Emerson Electric Co. (NYSE:EMR) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

受到伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李璐直言不諱地表示:『最大的投資風險並不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久性損失。』在審查公司的風險時,自然要考慮公司的資產負債表,因爲當企業崩潰時,往往會涉及債務。重要的是,艾默生電氣公司(NYSE:EMR)確實揹負着債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務產生了多大的風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還其債權人,那麼它就在債權人的掌握之中。資本主義的核心概念之一就是「創造性毀滅」過程,在這個過程中,銀行家會無情地清算失敗的企業。儘管這種情況不太普遍,我們經常看到負債企業因貸款人強迫其以低價融資而導致股東的被永久稀釋。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表着廉價資本,尤其是當它取代以高回報率再投資的公司而不是股份稀釋時。在我們考慮債務水平時,首先要考慮現金和負債水平。

What Is Emerson Electric's Net Debt?

艾默生電氣的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Emerson Electric had debt of US$7.69b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from US$8.16b over a year. On the flip side, it has US$3.59b in cash leading to net debt of about US$4.10b.

下面的圖像可以點擊以獲得更詳細的信息,顯示到2024年9月底,艾默生電氣的債務爲76.9億美元,較一年前的81.6億美元有所減少。另一方面,它還有35.9億美元的現金,導致淨債務約爲41億美元。

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NYSE:EMR Debt to Equity History November 25th 2024
NYSE:EMR 債務與權益歷史 2024年11月25日

How Healthy Is Emerson Electric's Balance Sheet?

艾默生電氣的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Emerson Electric had liabilities of US$5.74b due within a year, and liabilities of US$11.0b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$3.59b in cash and US$4.01b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$9.14b.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,艾默生電氣有57.4億美元的負債將在一年內到期,另外還有110億美元在之後到期。對沖這一負債的是它擁有35.9億美元的現金和40.1億美元將在12個月內到期的應收款。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(短期)應收款的總和91.4億美元。

Since publicly traded Emerson Electric shares are worth a very impressive total of US$74.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

由於公開交易的艾默生電氣股票總值非常可觀,達745億美元,因此這一負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但負債水平足夠高,我們肯定建議股東繼續關注資產負債表,特別是在未來。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們通過將公司的淨債務與其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)相除,並計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)如何覆蓋其利息費用(利息覆蓋率)來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力。因此,我們同時考慮債務的絕對數量以及所支付的利率。

Emerson Electric's net debt is only 0.89 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 33.9 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The good news is that Emerson Electric has increased its EBIT by 3.9% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Emerson Electric's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

艾默生電氣的淨負債僅爲其EBITDA的0.89倍。它的EBIT可以覆蓋其利息支出達33.9倍。因此可以說,它的債務威脅程度不比大象對老鼠的威脅更大。好消息是,艾默生電氣在過去12個月中將EBIT提高了3.9%,這應該會緩解對債務償還的擔憂。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點關注的領域。但決定艾默生電氣未來繼續保持健康資產負債表能力的,更多的是未來的收益。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的自由報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Emerson Electric recorded free cash flow worth 69% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,雖然稅務機關可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬的現金。因此,值得查看EBIT中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在最近三年中,艾默生電氣的自由現金流達其EBIT的69%,這一比例相對正常,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅款。這筆冷硬現金意味着它可以根據需要減少債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Emerson Electric's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Emerson Electric takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Emerson Electric you should know about.

值得高興的是,艾默生電氣令人印象深刻的利息覆蓋率意味着它在債務方面佔有優勢。同時,這只是好消息的開始,因爲它將EBIT轉換爲自由現金流的表現也非常令人欣慰。綜合考慮所有這些數據,我們認爲艾默生電氣在債務方面採取了相當合理的方式。這意味着他們承擔了一定的風險,希望提升股東回報。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個起始點。但最終,每家公司都有可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。這些風險可能難以發現。每家公司都有這些風險,而我們已經發現了艾默生電氣的3個警告信號,你應該知道。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

每天結束時,通常更好地關注那些沒有淨債務的公司。您可以查看我們特別名單上的這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長記錄)。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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