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US Consumer Sentiment Rises, Highlights Post-Election Partisan Shift

US Consumer Sentiment Rises, Highlights Post-Election Partisan Shift

美國消費者信心上升,突顯選舉後的黨派轉變
Business Today ·  11/25 08:50

US consumer sentiment saw an improvement for the fourth consecutive month in November, as reported by the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index. The index rose to 71.8, the highest level since April, compared to 70.5 in October.

根據密歇根大學的消費者信心指數,美國消費者信心在11月份連續第四個月有所改善。該指數上升至71.8,爲自四月以來的最高水平,較10月份的70.5有所增加。

However, this was lower than both the preliminary reading of 73.0 and the economists' forecast of 73.7. The initial reading was collected prior to the November 5 presidential election, suggesting post-election dynamics influenced sentiment shifts as reported by MIDF Amanah Investment Bank Bhd (MIDF Research).

然而,這一數據低於73.0的初步讀數和經濟學家預測的73.7。初步讀數是在11月5日總統大選之前收集的,表明選後動態影響了信心的變化,MIDF Amanah Investment Bank Bhd(MIDF Research)報道。

Republican optimism following Donald Trump's presidential victory significantly boosted the Expectations Index to 76.9 from October's 74.1, marking its highest level in eight months. In contrast, the Current Economic Conditions Index fell to 63.9 from 64.9, reflecting a more cautious view of present economic conditions.

在特朗普總統勝利後,共和黨的樂觀情緒顯著推動了預期指數從10月份的74.1上升至76.9,創下八個月來的最高水平。相比之下,當前經濟條件指數從64.9下降至63.9,反映出對當前經濟狀況的謹慎看法。

On inflation, short-term expectations eased slightly, with 1-year inflation projections falling to 2.6% from October's 2.7%. However, long-term inflation expectations climbed to 3.2% from 3.0%, the highest level this year, signalling increased concerns over future inflationary pressures.

關於通貨膨脹,短期預期略有減弱,1年的通脹預期從10月份的2.7%下降至2.6%。然而,長期通脹預期從3.0%上升至3.2%,爲今年的最高水平,表明對未來通脹壓力的擔憂加劇。

Meanwhile, the services sector demonstrated strong growth, as reflected in the Flash S&P Global PMI, which surged to 57.0 in November from 55.0 in October—a 32-month high. This growth was attributed to expectations of lower interest rates and positive economic policies. However, the manufacturing sector remained weak, with its PMI rising marginally to 48.8 from 48.5, staying below the neutral 50 mark, indicating a continued contraction.

與此同時,服務板塊顯示出強勁增長,Flash S&P全球PMI在11月份從10月份的55.0猛增至57.0,創下32個月以來的最高水平。這一增長歸因於對利率期貨下降和積極經濟政策的預期。然而,製造業板塊仍然較弱,其PMI僅從48.5微幅上升至48.8,依然低於中立的50點,表明收縮持續。

MIDF Research notes that while the US economy shows signs of resilience, particularly in consumer sentiment and the services sector, caution is warranted due to elevated inflation risks and persistent weakness in manufacturing. These factors could influence Malaysia's economic prospects, especially in terms of trade and monetary policy adjustments.

MIDF Research指出,儘管美國經濟在消費者信心和服務板塊方面顯示出韌性,但由於通貨膨脹風險上升和製造業持續疲軟,仍需保持謹慎。這些因素可能會影響馬來西亞的經濟前景,尤其是在交易和貨幣政策調整方面。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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