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Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Ciena公司(紐交所:CIEN)股票表現強勁,但基本面看起來不確定: 未來會如何?
Simply Wall St ·  11/24 21:18

Ciena (NYSE:CIEN) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 23% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Specifically, we decided to study Ciena's ROE in this article.

Ciena(紐交所:CIEN)股票在股市上表現出色,過去三個月上漲了23%。然而,我們擔心公司不穩定的財務狀況是否會對目前的股價動力產生不利影響。具體來說,我們決定在本文中研究Ciena的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回報率或roe是一項關鍵指標,用於評估公司管理層使用公司資本的效率。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東的投資轉化爲利潤的成功。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

roe可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營) ÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ciena is:

所以,根據上述公式,Ciena的roe爲:

4.8% = US$138m ÷ US$2.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to July 2024).

4.8% = 13800萬美元 ÷ 29億美元(基於截至2024年7月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.05 in profit.

「回報」是過去12個月的利潤。另一種思考方式是,對於每一美元的資產淨值,公司能夠獲得0.05美元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe與盈利增長有何關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經學到 ROE(淨資產收益率)可以衡量公司盈利的效率。具體取決於公司再投資或「保留」多少這些利潤,以及其有效程度,我們便能夠評估公司的盈利增長潛力。假設其他條件相同,ROE和利潤保留率都較高的公司通常比不具備這些特徵的公司增長率更高。

Ciena's Earnings Growth And 4.8% ROE

ciena的收益增長和4.8%的roe

When you first look at it, Ciena's ROE doesn't look that attractive. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 18% either. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 11% seen by Ciena over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

當你第一次看到它時,ciena的roe並不那麼吸引人。進一步快速研究顯示,該公司的roe與18%的行業平均水平也無法相提並論。考慮到情況,過去五年ciena淨利潤下降11%,這並不令人意外。我們認爲還可能有其他影響公司盈利前景的因素。例如,公司的分紅比率非常高,或者面臨競爭壓力。

That being said, we compared Ciena's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 8.3% in the same 5-year period.

話雖如此,我們將ciena的表現與行業進行了比較,當我們發現雖然該公司收入下降,但相同五年期間行業的收入增長率達到了8.3%時,我們感到擔憂。

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NYSE:CIEN Past Earnings Growth November 24th 2024
紐交所:CIEN過去的收益增長(2024年11月24日)

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is CIEN worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether CIEN is currently mispriced by the market.

爲了給公司貼上價值,很大程度上取決於其盈利增長。投資者需要判斷的是,預期的盈利增長,或者缺乏盈利增長,是否已經反映在股價中。這樣做將幫助他們判斷股票的未來是看好還是堪憂。CIEN今天價值多少?我們免費研究報告中的內在價值信息圖可以幫助您判斷CIEN當前是否被市場錯定。

Is Ciena Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Ciena是否高效利用其利潤?

Ciena doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Ciena不支付任何常規的股息,這意味着可能所有利潤都被再投資到業務中,這並不能解釋爲什麼公司的盈利在保留所有利潤的情況下有所減少。看起來可能有其他原因來解釋這種情況的不足。比如,業務可能正在下降。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Ciena. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們對Ciena持有兩極情感。雖然該公司有較高的盈利留存率,但低的回報率可能在阻礙其盈利增長。話雖如此,我們研究了最新的分析師預測發現,儘管公司過去盈利有所縮水,分析師預期其未來盈利將增長。想了解更多關於該公司最新分析師預測的信息,請查看該公司的分析師預測可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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