Are Telus and BCE Stocks a Smart Buy for Canadian Investors?
Are Telus and BCE Stocks a Smart Buy for Canadian Investors?
Canada's top telecom firms have been getting pretty heavy on the yield, at least over the past few years. Undoubtedly, the telecom stocks are still some of the brightest blue chips around. That said, industry headwinds seem pretty insurmountable at this point. And as the patience of Canadian passive-income investors is put to the test, questions linger as to how the top telecom firms are going to engineer some sort of meaningful comeback. Indeed, a sudden rebound seems off the table for now.
加拿大的頂級電信公司在收益方面已經變得相當重視,至少在過去幾年是這樣。毫無疑問,電信股票仍然是一些最亮眼的藍籌股。不過,目前行業的逆風似乎相當難以克服。隨着加拿大被動收入投資者的耐心受到考驗,關於頂級電信公司將如何實現有意義的復甦的問題依然存在。實際上,突然反彈在目前看來是無望的。
However, the big question remains just how far off the telecom top dogs are from bottoming out. Indeed, if you've been actively buying the dip in shares of Telus (TSX:T) and BCE (TSX:BCE), two of the most yield-rich names in the industry, you're probably off-put by the continued descent.
然而,大問題仍然是電信行業的頂尖公司距離觸底還有多遠。實際上,如果你一直在積極購買泰勒斯(tsx:t)和BCE(tsx:BCE)的股票,這兩家是行業內收益最豐厚的公司,你可能會對持續下跌感到沮喪。
Lower rates to the rescue? Not so fast!
降低利率來拯救?沒那麼簡單!
Of course, lower interest rates are welcomed relief for the capital-intensive firms, like the telecoms, that need to spend boatloads of cash on upgrading their network to the latest and greatest. Additionally, BCE, unlike Telus, has a media business that hasn't been a source of strength in recent years. Though cuts to the business could shore up cash to invest in wireless efforts, I'm just not sure if the firm can find the right balance between returning cash to shareholders and investing in areas that could bolster future cash flows.
當然,降低利率對資本密集型公司來說是受歡迎的緩解,如電信公司,他們需要花費大量現金升級網絡以達到最新標準。此外,BCE與泰勒斯不同,擁有一項在近年來並未成爲強項的媒體業務。雖然削減業務可能爲投資無線業務提供現金支持,但我並不確定該公司能否在向股東返還現金與投資能夠增強未來現金流的領域之間找到平衡。
For now, things aren't looking all too bright for the dividend yield of BCE as it soars to new heights. Now standing at almost 10.5%, BCE stock's dividend yield is bountiful but at risk of a reduction, perhaps sooner rather than later — at least in my opinion.
目前,BCE的股息收益率並不太樂觀,儘管它正在躍升到新的高度。現在接近10.5%的BCE股票股息收益率非常豐厚,但存在減幅的風險,也許不會太久——至少在我看來。
BCE stock: A dividend yield now north of 10%
BCE股票:現在股息收益率超過10%
Some bullish analysts out there are still optimistic but cautious as its yield climbs to levels some would have thought not possible just over a year ago. Notably, Desjardins Securities's Jerome Dureuil has a hold rating on the name, with a price target — $43 per share — that actually entails positive gains. Indeed, if BCE can give its wireless business a jolt, perhaps there are realistic scenarios where the stock can rise and the dividend can stay intact.
一些看好的分析師仍然樂觀但謹慎,因爲其收益率攀升到一些人認爲在一年前不可能的水平。值得注意的是,德瑞興證券的Jerome Dureuil對該股票維持持有評級,目標價爲每股43美元,這實際上意味着正增長。確實,如果BCE能夠給其無線業務注入活力,也許有現實的情形讓股票上漲,股息保持不變。
For passive-income investors with a high risk tolerance, BCE stock seems incredibly intriguing. But unless you're willing to stick it out past another rough couple of quarters, you'll probably be best served looking elsewhere. BCE just isn't the same Steady Eddie dividend darling it used to be. Now, it's a deep-value play and a falling knife — one that could prove difficult to catch without getting hurt.
對於追求被動收入的投資者來說, 風險容忍度BCE的股票似乎非常吸引人。但除非你願意忍耐另一個艱難的季度,否則你最好找別的機會。BCE已經不再是以前那個穩定的派息寵兒了。現在,它是一種深度價值投資和一把掉落的刀——這種投資可能會讓你在嘗試捕捉時受傷。
Telus
泰勒斯
Between BCE and Telus, I prefer the latter, even though the dividend yield isn't yet in the double digits. At writing, T stock boasts a 7.44% yield. That's still quite rich but a hefty commitment for the firm as it continues powering through turbulent times. With a 21.2 times forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple, T stock isn't all that cheap for a stock that's shed more than 37% of its value.
在BCE和泰勒斯之間,我更傾向於後者,即使其股息收益率尚未達到兩位數。撰寫時萬億股票的股息收益率爲7.44%。這仍然相當高,但對於該公司來說是個巨大的承諾,因爲它在動盪時期持續努力。以21.2倍的前瞻市盈率(P/E)來看,萬億股票對於一隻已經蒸發超過37%價值的股票而言並不便宜。
Either way, I view the dividend as on stabler footing. Recently, the company clocked in a decent quarterly number alongside a modest dividend hike. Sure, pressures remain, but I think income investors are in good company as Canada looks to steer higher going into 2025.
無論如何,我認爲股息的基礎相對穩定。最近,該公司的季度數字表現不錯,並且稍微提高了股息。雖然壓力依然存在,但我認爲隨着加拿大在2025年向更高的目標邁進,收益投資者處於一個不錯的環境中。
Larger yields do not mean better yields. Between the two TSX telecom titans, I prefer T stock unless you firmly believe in BCE's management team and their ability to pull off a wireless-driven turnaround. Indeed, BCE stock could have immense upside in such a turnaround scenario. Not to mention, you'd lock in that more than 10% yield should the dividend become better supported with time.
更高的收益並不意味着更好的收益。在這兩家tsx電信巨頭之間,我更喜歡t股票,除非你堅信BCE的管理團隊及其實現以無線爲驅動的扭轉能力。實際上,在這樣一個扭轉的情景下,BCE股票可能會有巨大的上行空間。更不用說,如果股息隨着時間的推移得到更好的支持,你將鎖定超過10%的收益。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。