When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH) as a highly attractive investment with its 7.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
There hasn't been much to differentiate Meritage Homes' and the market's earnings growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Meritage Homes.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Meritage Homes' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 30% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 4.3% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 15%.
With this information, we are not surprised that Meritage Homes is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On Meritage Homes' P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Meritage Homes maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Meritage Homes (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Meritage Homes. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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