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Earnings Beat: Cisco Systems, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Earnings Beat: Cisco Systems, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

業績超預期:思科系統公司剛剛打破了分析師的預測,分析師們已經在更新他們的模型
Simply Wall St ·  11/22 19:29

Last week saw the newest quarterly earnings release from Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO), an important milestone in the company's journey to build a stronger business. Revenues were US$14b, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at US$0.68, an impressive 51% ahead of estimates. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

上週納斯達克思科系統公司(納斯達克代碼:CSCO)發佈了最新的季度收益報告,這是公司構建更強業務征程中的重要里程碑。營業收入達到了140億美元,與分析師的預期大致一致,儘管法定每股收益(EPS)超出預期,達到了0.68美元,比預期高出51%。收益對投資者來說是重要的時刻,因爲他們可以跟蹤公司的表現,查看分析師對明年的預測,看看市場對該公司的看法是否發生變化。我們已經收集了最新的法定預測,以查看分析師是否在這些結果之後更改了他們的盈利模型。

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NasdaqGS:CSCO Earnings and Revenue Growth November 22nd 2024
納斯達克CSCO2024年11月22日收益和營收增長

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Cisco Systems' 27 analysts is for revenues of US$56.0b in 2025. This would reflect an okay 5.8% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to increase 4.2% to US$2.46. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$55.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.33 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

考慮到最新的結果,思科公司27位分析師對2025年的營收預測爲560億美元。這將反映出過去12個月營收的良好增長5.8%。預計每股收益將增長4.2%,達到2.46美元。在此盈利報告之前,分析師之前預測2025年的營收爲559億美元,每股收益(EPS)爲2.33美元。分析師似乎對業務變得更看好,可以從他們新的每股收益預測看出。

The analysts have been lifting their price targets on the back of the earnings upgrade, with the consensus price target rising 8.2% to US$61.95. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Cisco Systems analyst has a price target of US$78.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$50.00. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Cisco Systems shareholders.

分析師在盈利提升的背景下提高了價格目標,一致預期價格上漲8.2%至61.95美元。一致預期價格只是個別分析師目標的平均值,因此查看基礎估計範圍有多寬可能會有幫助。Cisco Systems最樂觀的分析師將股票價格目標定爲每股78.00美元,而最悲觀者將其定爲每股50.00美元。分析師對業務有不同的看法,但在我們看來,估計範圍不夠廣,無法表明極端結果可能等待着Cisco Systems的股東。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that Cisco Systems' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 7.8% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.6% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 8.3% annually. Cisco Systems is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.

了解這些預測的更多背景之一是比較它們與過去表現以及同行業其他公司的表現。從最新的估計數據可以明顯看出,思科系統預計的增長速度將顯着加快,到2025年年底的預測年增長率爲7.8%,比過去五年的歷史增長2.6%每年快得多。將這與同行業其他公司相比,預計他們的營收年增長率爲8.3%。預計思科系統的增長速度與其行業大致相同,因此目前尚不清楚我們能否根據其與競爭對手的增長情況得出任何結論。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Cisco Systems following these results. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

這裏最重要的是分析師們提高了他們對思科系統的每股收益預期,表明對這些成果的樂觀情緒明顯增加。他們還重申了他們的營業收入預測,公司預計增長速度與整個行業相當。我們注意到目標價的提升,表明分析師認爲該業務的內在價值可能會隨着時間的推移而改善。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Cisco Systems. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Cisco Systems analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考慮到這一點,我們不應該過快地對思科系統下結論。長期的盈利能力比明年的利潤更重要。我們有多位思科系統分析師的預測 - 直到2027年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

It might also be worth considering whether Cisco Systems' debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.

也值得考慮思科系統的債務負擔是否恰當,可以使用我們在Simply Wall St平台上的債務分析工具來進行分析。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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