NZD/USD Under Pressure Amidst USD Strength
NZD/USD Under Pressure Amidst USD Strength
Internally, the US dollar's strength, fuelled by mixed expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's policy decisions in December, continues to exert substantial pressure on the NZD. Since the US election, the dollar has emerged as a dominant force, benefiting from robust domestic factors, and overshadowing other currencies that lack similar support, leading to their devaluation. As a result, the NZD, particularly vulnerable, reflects this broader depreciation trend against the USD.By RoboForex Analytical Department
由RoboForex分析部門提供
The NZD/USD pair is trading near 0.5879, experiencing volatility as the market awaits the upcoming Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) meeting. Expectations are leaning towards a significant rate cut, with a 50-basis-point reduction considered the baseline scenario and a 25% probability of a more aggressive 75-basis-point cut.
新西蘭元/美元貨幣對交易於0.5879附近，市場在等待即將召開的新西蘭儲備銀行（RBNZ）會議，正在經歷波動。預期傾向於大幅減息，50點子的減息被視爲基本情景，而更激進的75點子減息有25%的概率。
Adding to the uncertainty are pessimistic projections from the New Zealand Treasury, suggesting potential delays in economic recovery, further weighing on sentiment around the NZD.
新西蘭財政部悲觀的預測增加了不確定性，暗示經濟復甦可能會延遲，進一步影響對新西蘭元的情緒。
Internally, the US dollar's strength, fuelled by mixed expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's policy decisions in December, continues to exert substantial pressure on the NZD. Since the US election, the dollar has emerged as a dominant force, benefiting from robust domestic factors, and overshadowing other currencies that lack similar support, leading to their devaluation. As a result, the NZD, particularly vulnerable, reflects this broader depreciation trend against the USD.
內部方面，由於對聯儲局12月政策決策的不同預期，美元的強勢繼續對新西蘭元施加重大壓力。自美國選舉以來，美元成爲主導力量，受益於強勁的國內因素，掩蓋了其他缺乏相似支持的貨幣，導致這些貨幣貶值。因此，新西蘭元特別脆弱，反映出相對於美元的更廣泛貶值趨勢。
Technical Analysis Of NZD/USD
NZD/USD新科技控股的技術面分析
On the H4 chart of NZD/USD, the market corrected to the 0.5921 level. Today, a decline wave structure is forming at the 0.5858 level, marking the boundaries of the consolidation range. A downward exit from this range could indicate the potential for the wave to extend towards 0.5777. Alternatively, an upward exit may result in another corrective move towards 0.5944 before the price resumes its decline to 0.5777. From a technical standpoint, this bearish outlook for NZD/USD is supported by the MACD indicator, with its signal line below zero and sloping downward.
在新西蘭元/美元的H4圖表上，市場修正到0.5921水平。今天，在0.5858水平上形成了一個下降波結構，標誌着整合區間的邊界。從這個區間向下突破可能表示波動有潛力延伸至0.5777。或者，向上突破可能會導致另一個修正波動，目標爲0.5944，然後價格將繼續下跌至0.5777。從技術面分析來看，這種看淡新西蘭元/美元的觀點得到了MACD指標的支持，其信號線位於零下並向下傾斜。
On the H1 chart of NZD/USD, the market has formed a consolidation range around 0.5875. Today, another decline wave towards 0.5777 is likely to develop. At this level, the wave is expected to exhaust its downside potential. This scenario is technically confirmed by the Stochastic oscillator, with its signal line below 50 and trending downward.
在新西蘭元/美元的1小時圖上，市場在0.5875附近形成了一個整理區間。今天，向0.5777的另一次下跌波動可能會發展。在這個水平上，預計波動將耗盡其下行潛力。這個情景在技術上得到了隨機振盪器的確認，其信號線在50以下並呈下降趨勢。
Disclaimer
免責聲明
Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author's particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.
本分析僅代表作者個人觀點，不得視爲交易建議。RoboForex不承擔基於本文所含交易建議和評論所產生的任何交易結果的責任。
This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga's reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.
本文來自非報酬的外部投稿人。它不代表Benzinga的報道，並且沒有因爲內容或準確性而被編輯。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
