Michael Saylor Predicted Bitcoin To Hit $13 Million — If It Happens, It Will Entail 'Massive Hyperinflation,' Analyst Warns
Michael Saylor Predicted Bitcoin To Hit $13 Million — If It Happens, It Will Entail 'Massive Hyperinflation,' Analyst Warns
Macro investor Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, has sparked a heated debate on Twitter about the potential long-term value of Bitcoin and its implications for the global economy.
宏觀投資者吉姆·比安科(Jim Bianco),比安科研究所總裁,在Twitter上引發了一場關於比特幣的潛在長期價值和對全球經濟的影響的激烈辯論。
What Happened: Responding to the prediction of MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) executive chairman Michael Saylor that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) could hit $13 million by 2045, Bianco noted in a post on X on Thursday that this valuation would put Bitcoin's market cap at around $250 trillion.
發生了什麼:在回應MicroStrategy(納斯達克股票代碼:MSTR)執行董事長邁克爾·塞勒(Michael Saylor)關於比特幣(加密貨幣:BTC)可能在2045年達到1300萬美元的預測時,比安科在週四的一篇發帖中指出,這一估值將使比特幣的市值達到約250萬億美元左右。
This would dwarf the current world GDP of $105 trillion and global stock markets valued at $125 trillion.
這將使當前的全球國內生產總值(GDP)105萬億美元和市值估計爲125萬億美元的全球股市相形見絀。
However, Bianco questions what $13 million would actually buy in 2045—perhaps only what $100,000 buys today.
然而,比安科質疑1300萬美元在2045年到底能買到什麼——也許只是今天10萬美元能買到的東西。
His answer was stark: "I'll offer an answer: $13 million BTC, or adding $250 trillion to wealth, will create massive hyperinflation."
他的答案是:"我會給出一個答案:1300萬美元的比特幣,或者增加250萬億美元的財富,將導致大規模的惡性通貨膨脹。"
The financial analyst argued that such a dramatic increase in Bitcoin's value would likely coincide with – or result from – the collapse of fiat currencies. In this scenario, "$13 million in 2045 will only get you the same amount as $100k today, probably less (a used Honda)," Bianco stated.
這位財務分析師認爲,比特幣價值的如此劇烈增長很可能會與—或者是由此結果—法定貨幣的崩潰相一致。在這種情況下,比安科指出:"到2045年的1300萬美元僅能買到與今天10萬美元相同的物品,可能更少(一輛二手本田)。"
While acknowledging that a $13 million Bitcoin price isn't necessarily unrealistic, Bianco cautioned that the conditions leading to such a valuation would be far from ideal. "It is the destruction of all value as we currently know it. It is replaced by a new measure of account, BTC," he explained.
儘管承認1300萬美元的比特幣價格並非不切實際,比安科警告稱,導致這種估值的條件將遠非理想。"這是我們目前所熟知的所有價值的毀滅。這將被一種新的記賬方式,即比特幣(BTC),所取代。"
Bianco also raised concerns about the societal implications of such a scenario. He pointed out that "60% of the US population owns no assets and cannot come up $1,000 in an emergency," questioning what would happen to these individuals in a world of massive hyperinflation and sky-high Bitcoin prices.
比安科還對這種場景的社會影響提出了擔憂。他指出,"美國60%的人口不擁有任何資產,且在緊急情況下無法籌集1000美元。" 他質疑在大規模惡性通貨膨脹和比特幣價格飆升的世界中,這些個體會發生什麼。
Echoing Robert Kiyosaki's thoughts, Bianco concluded "This is not something to look forward to." Kiyosaki in his recent tweet advised to buy Bitcoin today as with "$9,000 today.... you buy .01 Bitcoin today...you are a millionaire tomorrow."
與羅伯特·基約薩基的觀點相呼應,Bianco總結道「這不是我們期待的事情。」 基約薩基在最近的推文中建議今天買入比特幣,因爲「今天9000美元....你今天購買0.01比特幣...明天你就是百萬富翁。」
Also Read: Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High Above $98,000 As Spot ETFs Crack $100 Billion Net Asset Value Milestone
另請閱讀:比特幣新高突破 98,000 美元,現貨 etf 擊破 1000億淨資產價值里程碑
Why It Matters: Bianco isn't alone in his skepticism. Economists Erzo G.J. Luttmer and Amol Amol share a similar sentiment, describing Bitcoin as a disruptive force to government fiscal policies, likening it to "an unruly guest at a carefully planned dinner."
爲什麼重要:Bianco在懷疑中並不孤單。經濟學家Erzo G.J. Luttmer和Amol Amol也有同樣的看法,將比特幣描述爲對政府財政政策產生破壞性影響,將其比作「一個在精心籌劃的晚宴上攪局的客人。」
Peter Schiff, a long-time Bitcoin critic, also warns against such scenarios. He argues that if the U.S. were to hold Bitcoin reserves, it could trigger hyperinflation by forcing the government to print more dollars, devastating both Bitcoin and the dollar's value.
長期批評比特幣的Peter Schiff也對這種情況提出警告。他認爲,如果美國持有比特幣儲備,可能會通過迫使政府印製更多美元而引發惡性通貨膨脹,從而摧毀比特幣和美元的價值。
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譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。