Investing in Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 24% Gain
Investing in Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 24% Gain
There's no doubt that investing in the stock market is a truly brilliant way to build wealth. But if when you choose to buy stocks, some of them will be below average performers. For example, the Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (NYSE:BMY), share price is up over the last year, but its gain of 18% trails the market return. However, the longer term returns haven't been so impressive, with the stock up just 2.5% in the last three years.
毫無疑問,在股市投資是積累財富的一種絕佳方式。但是當您選擇購買股票時,有些股票的表現會低於平均水平。例如,紐約證券交易所(NYSE)上市的施貴寶(Bristol-Myers Squibb)公司股價在過去一年中有所上漲,但漲幅18%略低於市場回報。然而,長期回報並不那麼令人印象深刻,股價在過去三年中僅上漲了2.5%。
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
讓我們長期看一下潛在的基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報一致。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
儘管市場是一個強大的定價機制,股價不僅反映了基本業務表現,還反映了投資者的情緒。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價變化,並隨時間推移這樣做,我們可以了解股東對公司的態度如何隨時間變化。
Over the last twelve months Bristol-Myers Squibb went from profitable to unprofitable. While some may see this as temporary, we're a skeptical bunch, and so we're a little surprised to see the share price go up. We might get a clue to explain the share price move by looking to other metrics.
在過去的十二個月中,施貴寶公司由盈利轉爲虧損。雖然一些人可能認爲這只是暫時的,但我們是一個懷疑的群體,所以看到股價上漲有些驚訝。通過觀察其他指標,我們可能會找到解釋股價變動的線索。
We note that the most recent dividend payment is higher than the payment a year ago, so that may have assisted the share price. Income-seeking investors probably helped bid up the stock price. Though we must add that the revenue growth of 5.6% year on year would have helped paint a pretty picture.
我們注意到最近的分紅派息高於一年前的金額,因此這可能推動了股價上漲。尋求收入的投資者可能有助於推高股價。儘管我們必須補充一點,即年增長5.6%的營業收入可能有助於呈現一個不錯的畫面。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。
It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Bristol-Myers Squibb will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
在過去三個月中看到一些重要的內部人員買入是好事。這是一個積極的信號。另一方面,我們認爲營業收入和盈利趨勢是更有意義的業務衡量標準。因此,查看分析師認爲施貴寶未來將賺取多少是非常有意義的(免費盈利預測)。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Bristol-Myers Squibb, it has a TSR of 24% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
考慮任何特定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報是很重要的。TSR包括任何剝離或折價的資本籌資價值,以及根據假設分紅被再投資的任何分紅。因此,對於支付豐厚分紅的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。就施貴寶而言,過去1年其TSR爲24%。這超過了先前提到的股價回報。公司支付的分紅因此提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Bristol-Myers Squibb shareholders are up 24% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 4% over half a decade It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Bristol-Myers Squibb .
施貴寶的股東今年賺了24%(即使包括分紅派息在內)。 但這個收益還是低於市場水平。 在好的一面,這依然是一種收益,實際上比過去半個世紀的平均收益率4%要好。 隨着業務基本面的改善,收益有可能會提高。 我發現長期以來觀察股價作爲業務表現的替代指標非常有趣。 但要真正獲得洞察,我們需要考慮其他信息。 爲此,您需要注意我們發現的施貴寶存在的2個警示信號。
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.
還有很多其他的公司,公司的內部人士正在購買股票。你可能不想錯過這個免費的小市值公司的低估列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。