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Goldman Sachs Economist: Weight-Loss Drugs Could Be Key To US Economic Growth

Goldman Sachs Economist: Weight-Loss Drugs Could Be Key To US Economic Growth

高盛經濟學家:減肥藥可能是美國經濟增長的關鍵
Benzinga ·  11/17 21:00

A Goldman Sachs economist has suggested that the US economy could experience accelerated growth with increased use of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs like Ozempic.

高盛經濟學家建議,如果增加類GLP-1減肥藥物(如奧塞康)的使用,美國經濟可能會經歷加速增長。

What Happened: Jan Hatzius, chief economist at Goldman Sachs, has said that US GDP could potentially grow an additional 1% if 60 million Americans were to use GLP-1 drugs by 2028.

事件:高盛首席經濟學家哈齊斯表示,如果到2028年有6000萬美國人使用GLP-1類藥物,美國國內生產總值可能增加1%。

Hatzius pointed out that health-related issues such as obesity often hinder people from participating in the labor force, thereby stunting economic growth, reports Business Insider.

哈齊斯指出,健康相關問題,如肥胖,常常阻礙人們參與勞動力市場,從而抑制經濟增長,據《商業內幕》報道。

He further highlighted that healthcare innovation could significantly reduce the economic costs associated with poor health.

他進一步指出,醫療創新可以顯著降低與不良健康狀況相關的經濟成本。

"Combining current losses in hours worked and labor force participation from sickness and disability, early deaths, and informal caregiving, we estimate that GDP would potentially be over 10% higher if poor health outcomes did not limit labor supply in the US," the outlet quoted Hatzius saying.

「結合目前因疾病、殘疾導致的工時損失和勞動力參與率下降、早逝以及非正式照顧,我們估計,如果不良健康狀況沒有限制美國的勞動力供應,國內生產總值潛在會高出10%以上,」媒體援引哈齊斯的話說。

GLP-1 drugs, including Ozempic and Mounjaro, are manufactured by Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) respectively. These drugs have proven effective in treating type 2 diabetes and obesity, leading to a surge in sales.

新秦和禮來分別生產GLP-1類藥物奧塞康和蒙哈阿羅,這些藥物已被證明有效治療2型糖尿病和肥胖,導致銷售額激增。

Also Read: Eli Lilly's Mounjaro Outpaces Novo Nordisk's Ozempic In Weight Loss Effectiveness, Study Shows

推薦閱讀:禮來的蒙哈阿羅在減肥功效上超越新秦的奧塞康,研究顯示

Given the U.S. obesity rate of approximately 40%, tens of millions of Americans could be prescribed GLP-1 drugs in the upcoming years. Hatzius believes that this could lead to substantial economic benefits, including increased productivity.

考慮到美國大約40%的肥胖率,未來幾年可能會有數千萬美國人被開具GLP-1類藥物處方。哈齊斯認爲,這可能帶來實質性的經濟利益,包括增加產出。

"The main reason we see meaningful upside from healthcare innovation is that poor health imposes significant economic costs. There are several channels through which poor health weighs on economic activity that could diminish if health outcomes improve," Hatzius said.

從醫療創新中看到有意義的增長的主要原因是,糟糕的健康狀況會造成巨大的經濟成本。如果健康狀況改善,可能會減少多個影響經濟活動的渠道,"哈齊烏斯說。

"These estimates therefore suggest that obesity-related health complications subtract over 3% from per-capita output, implying an over 1% hit to total output when combined with the over 40% incidence of obesity in the US population," he added.

他補充說,這些估計數據表明,與肥胖相關的健康併發症使人均產出減少了超過3%,結合美國人口中40%以上的肥胖發病率,這意味着總產出損失超過1%。

Why It Matters: The increased use of GLP-1 drugs could not only address the health crisis related to obesity but also stimulate economic growth.

爲什麼重要:GLP-1類藥物的增加使用不僅可以解決與肥胖相關的健康危機,還可以刺激經濟增長。

With the U.S. grappling with high obesity rates, the potential for these drugs to improve health outcomes and boost labor force participation could have far-reaching implications for the economy.

面對高肥胖率,這些藥物有望改善健康結果並促進勞動力參與,這對經濟可能會產生深遠影響。

The surge in sales of these drugs also indicates a growing market, which could further contribute to economic growth.

這些藥物銷售激增也表明了一個不斷增長的市場,這可能進一步促進經濟增長。

Read Next

閱讀下一篇

As Race To Best 'Miracle' Obesity Drug Heats Up, Ozempic Maker Novo Nordisk Tests New Hybrid Drug That Can Reduce Weight Up To 25%

隨着爭奪最佳「奇蹟」減肥藥物的競爭加劇,歐帝匹克(maker)諾和諾德斯克(Novo Nordisk)正在測試新的混合藥物,可使體重減輕達25%

This content was partially produced with the help of Benzinga Neuro and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

這一內容部分藉助於本賽思神經和本賽思編輯審核並發表。

Image: Shutterstock

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譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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