It's not a stretch to say that Antero Resources Corporation's (NYSE:AR) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Antero Resources' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times haven't been great for Antero Resources as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal revenue performance to revert back to industry averages soon, which has kept the P/S from falling. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Antero Resources will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
Antero Resources' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 23% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 13% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 80% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Antero Resources' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of Antero Resources' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Antero Resources that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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