Hudson Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:HDSN) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 54% share price decline.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may still consider Hudson Technologies as a highly attractive investment with its 8.7x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Hudson Technologies' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hudson Technologies will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Hudson Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 42%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 39% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 31% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 15%.
In light of this, it's understandable that Hudson Technologies' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Hudson Technologies have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Hudson Technologies' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hudson Technologies (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
You might be able to find a better investment than Hudson Technologies. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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