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We Think Avient (NYSE:AVNT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Avient (NYSE:AVNT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲avient(紐交所:AVNT)可以保持債務的控制
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/16 20:07

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Avient Corporation (NYSE:AVNT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過,'波動性與風險遠非同義。' 當您評估一家公司的風險時,考慮到債務往往是業務崩潰時涉及的因素,查看公司資產負債表是再自然不過的了。我們注意到,Avient公司(紐交所: AVNT)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題在於這些債務是否讓公司變得風險較高。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務在企業遇到支付困難時提供幫助,無論是通過新資本還是自由現金流。資本主義的一部分是『創造性摧毀』的過程,失敗的企業會被它們的銀行家無情地清算。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一個公司必須以低價格稀釋股東權益來控制債務。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表了廉價的資本,尤其是當它取代稀釋一個公司具有高回報率的再投資能力時。在考慮一個企業使用多少債務時,首先要看它的現金和債務情況。

What Is Avient's Debt?

Avient的債務是什麼?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Avient had US$2.07b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$505.7m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.56b.

下面的圖表顯示Avient在2024年9月有20.7億美元的債務;與前一年大致相同。但由於它擁有50570萬美元的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約爲15.6億美元。

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NYSE:AVNT Debt to Equity History November 16th 2024
紐交所: AVNT債務與權益歷史2024年11月16日

How Healthy Is Avient's Balance Sheet?

Avient的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Avient had liabilities of US$894.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.77b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$505.7m as well as receivables valued at US$465.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$2.70b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表看出,Avient需償還的短期負債爲89450萬美元,長期負債爲27.7億美元。 抵消這些責任的是,它手頭現金爲50570萬美元,以及價值46510萬美元的應收款項在12個月內到期。 因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收款項的組合多27億美元。

Avient has a market capitalization of US$4.67b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

Avient的市值爲46.7億美元,因此在必要時很可能籌集資金來改善其資產負債表。 但是,仍值得仔細看一下其償債能力。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們通過查看淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比以及計算其利息支出由收益前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋的程度來度量一家公司的債務負載相對於其收益能力的程度。此方法的優點在於我們同時考慮了債務的絕對量(以淨債務爲EBITDA)以及與該債務相關的實際利息支出(以其利息覆蓋倍數計算)。

With net debt to EBITDA of 2.8 Avient has a fairly noticeable amount of debt. On the plus side, its EBIT was 7.5 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 2.8. Importantly, Avient grew its EBIT by 36% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Avient can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Avient的淨債務/息稅折舊攤銷前利潤率爲2.8,這是相當可觀的債務量。 好的一面是,它的息稅前利潤率爲其利息支出的7.5倍,而淨債務/息稅折舊攤銷前利潤率相當高,爲2.8。 重要的是,過去12個月,Avient的息稅前利潤率增長了36%,這種增長將更容易處理其債務。 在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要重點關注的領域。 但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定Avient是否能夠隨着時間強化其資產負債表。 因此,如果你專注於未來,你可以查看這份顯示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Avient recorded free cash flow worth 54% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,雖然稅務部門可能崇拜會計利潤,但放貸人只接受冰冷的現金。 因此,值得檢查EBIT中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。 在最近三年中,Avient記錄的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIT的54%,這是正常範圍內的情況,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅金。 這份自由現金流讓公司有能力在合適時償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Avient was the fact that it seems able to grow its EBIT confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to handle its total liabilities. Considering this range of data points, we think Avient is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Avient (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

就資產負債表而言,Avient值得關注的積極因素是它似乎能夠自信地增長其EBIt。然而,我們的其他觀察並不那麼令人振奮。例如,似乎它在處理其總負債方面有些吃力。考慮到這些數據點的區間,我們認爲Avient處於一個良好的位置來管理其債務水平。話雖如此,負擔是足夠沉重的,我們建議股東們密切關注。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到大部分關於債務的信息。但最終,每家公司都可能包含超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經識別出Avient的2個預警信號(1個不容忽視),您應該注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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