Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) Investors Are up 9.6% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years
Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) Investors Are up 9.6% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years
When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the The Charles Schwab Corporation (NYSE:SCHW) share price is up 67% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Some buyers are laughing, though, with an increase of 44% in the last year.
當你買入並持有一隻股票較長時間時,你肯定希望它能帶來正回報。但更重要的是,你可能希望看到它的漲幅超過市場平均水平。不幸的是,對於股東而言,雖然嘉信理財(紐交所:SCHW)在過去五年的股價上漲了67%,但仍低於市場回報。不過,某些買入者卻在歡笑,因爲他們在過去一年中上漲了44%。
Since it's been a strong week for Charles Schwab shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
由於這一週對嘉信理財的股東來說表現強勁,讓我們來看看長期基本面的趨勢。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
市場有時毫無疑問是有效的,但股票價格並不總是反映基本業務表現。一種有缺陷但合理的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)和股票價格,以評估圍繞公司的情緒如何變化。
Charles Schwab's earnings per share are down 1.2% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
儘管股價在過去五年表現強勁,嘉信理財的每股收益每年下降1.2%。
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
通過觀察這些數據,我們可以得出結論:每股收益下降並不代表業務在過去幾年發生了變化。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化不相關,所以值得關注一些其他的指標。
We doubt the modest 1.2% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 13% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Charles Schwab is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
我們懷疑1.2%的分紅派息收益率能吸引多少買家購買該股票。相反,13%的營業收入年增長率可能被視爲嘉信理財正在增長的證據,這是一個真正的積極信號。在這種情況下,公司可能在犧牲當前的每股收益以推動增長。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到以下收益和營收的變化情況(通過單擊圖像了解精確值)。
We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. You can see what analysts are predicting for Charles Schwab in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
我們認爲公司內部人士在過去一年進行了大量購買是一個積極的信號。儘管如此,未來的收益對當前股東是否盈利將更爲重要。您可以通過這個未來利潤預測的互動圖表看到分析師對嘉信理財的預測。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Charles Schwab the TSR over the last 5 years was 79%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR包含任何分拆或折扣資本籌集的價值,以及任何分紅派息,基於對分紅派息再投資的假設。可以說,TSR提供了股市投資回報的更全面的圖景。我們注意到,嘉信理財過去5年的TSR爲79%,這比上面提到的股價回報更好。這主要是由於其分紅支付!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
It's good to see that Charles Schwab has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 46% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 12% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Charles Schwab better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Charles Schwab that you should be aware of before investing here.
很高興看到嘉信理財在過去十二個月中爲股東帶來了46%的總股東回報。這包括了分紅。這比過去五年年化回報12%要好,這意味着公司最近的表現更佳。持樂觀態度的人可能會認爲,最近在總股東回報上的改善表明業務本身隨着時間在變好。長期跟蹤股票價格表現總是很有趣。但爲了更好地了解嘉信理財,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們發現了一個關於嘉信理財的警告信號,在這裏投資之前,你應該了解。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).
如果您喜歡與管理層共同購買股票,那麼您可能會喜歡這個免費的公司列表(提示:大多數公司沒有受到關注)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。