When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider Republic Services, Inc. (NYSE:RSG) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 33.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Republic Services certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Republic Services.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Republic Services' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 21%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 66% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.0% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it concerning that Republic Services is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Republic Services' P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Republic Services' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Republic Services has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Republic Services' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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