When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider Avista Corporation (NYSE:AVA) as an attractive investment with its 15x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Avista has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Avista.
Is There Any Growth For Avista?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Avista's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 15% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 11% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 3.8% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Avista is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Avista's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Avista (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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