It's not a stretch to say that Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CPRX) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in the United States, where the median P/E ratio is around 19x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Recent times have been advantageous for Catalyst Pharmaceuticals as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Is There Some Growth For Catalyst Pharmaceuticals?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Catalyst Pharmaceuticals would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 111%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 198% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 14% per annum during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Catalyst Pharmaceuticals' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Catalyst Pharmaceuticals' P/E
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Catalyst Pharmaceuticals currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Catalyst Pharmaceuticals has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
