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Is ITT (NYSE:ITT) A Risky Investment?

Is ITT (NYSE:ITT) A Risky Investment?

ITt (紐交所:ITT) 是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  11/14 22:33

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that ITT Inc. (NYSE:ITT) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人說,作爲投資者,最好的方式是將風險看作波動性,而不是債務,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過‚'波動性與風險遠非同義詞。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看其債務使用情況,因爲債務過多可能導致破產。 我們可以看到ITT Inc.(紐交所:ITT)在業務中確實使用了債務。 但這些債務會不會讓股東擔憂呢?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

對於一家企業來說,當無法很容易地通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來實現這些責任時,債務和其他負債會向其敞開風險大門。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。雖然這種情況並不是太常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因爲債權人強制要求以息苦本的價格籌集資本而永久稀釋股東的情況。當然,對於資本密集型的企業而言,負債是一個很重要的工具。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,首先要看現金和債務共同構成的情況。

What Is ITT's Net Debt?

ITT的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 ITT had debt of US$830.4m, up from US$251.9m in one year. However, it also had US$460.9m in cash, and so its net debt is US$369.5m.

下面的圖片(您可以點擊查看更詳細信息)顯示,截至2024年9月,ITt的債務爲83040萬美元,比一年前的25190萬美元增加。 然而,它還有46090萬美元的現金,因此其淨債務爲36950萬美元。

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NYSE:ITT Debt to Equity History November 14th 2024
紐交所:ITT 債務權益歷史記錄,2024年11月14日

How Strong Is ITT's Balance Sheet?

ITT的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that ITT had liabilities of US$1.27b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$914.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$460.9m as well as receivables valued at US$836.4m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$891.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看到,it公司有12.7億美元的一年內到期的負債,以及超過91410萬美元的長期到期負債。 抵消這些義務,它擁有46090萬美元的現金和83640萬美元的應收款項,其中12個月內到期。 因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收款項總和多出89150萬美元。

Given ITT has a humongous market capitalization of US$12.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

鑑於it公司市值高達125億美元,很難相信這些負債會構成很大威脅。 但是,我們認爲值得關注其資產負債表強度,因爲隨着時間的推移,情況可能會發生變化。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了衡量公司相對於其收益的債務情況,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆蓋率)。這種方法的優點是,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量(淨負債與 EBITDA),又考慮到了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。

ITT's net debt is only 0.51 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 27.5 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. And we also note warmly that ITT grew its EBIT by 12% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ITT can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

ITT的淨債務僅爲其EBITDA的0.51倍。 其息稅前利潤涵蓋其利息支出超過27.5倍。 因此,我們對其極爲保守的債務使用感到放心。 我們也熱情地注意到it公司去年的EBIT增長了12%,使其更容易處理債務負擔。 在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要重點關注的領域。 但最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定it公司是否能夠隨着時間加強其資產負債表。 因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看此免費報告,其中顯示了分析師的利潤預測。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, ITT recorded free cash flow worth 61% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,一家公司只能用冷硬現金而非會計利潤償還債務。 因此,值得檢查多少EBIT由自由現金流支持。 在最近的三年中,it公司記錄的自由現金流值相當於其EBIT的61%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅收。 這筆冷硬現金意味着在需要時可以減少債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

The good news is that ITT's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Zooming out, ITT seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in ITT, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

好消息是,ITT展示了用其EBIt支付利息支出的能力,就像一隻蓬鬆小狗給一個孩子帶來快樂一樣。而且好消息並不止於此,其淨債務與EBITDA之比也支持這一印象!總體來看,ITT似乎相當合理地使用債務;這讓我們感到滿意。雖然債務帶來風險,但明智使用時也能帶來更高的股本回報率。隨着時間的推移,股價往往會跟隨每股收益,所以如果你對ITT感興趣,可以點擊這裏查看其每股收益歷史的交互圖。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切塵埃落定時,有時更容易專注於那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費查看零淨債務的成長股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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