Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Micron Technology, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MU) Mixed Fundamentals?
Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Micron Technology, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MU) Mixed Fundamentals?
Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) has had a rough week with its share price down 11%. It seems that the market might have completely ignored the positive aspects of the company's fundamentals and decided to weigh-in more on the negative aspects. Stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Specifically, we decided to study Micron Technology's ROE in this article.
美光科技(納斯達克:MU)股價下跌11%,經歷了艱難的一週。市場似乎完全忽略了公司基本面的積極因素,更傾向於關注負面因素。股價通常受公司長期財務表現驅動,因此我們決定更加關注公司的財務表現。具體來說,在本文中我們決定研究美光科技的roe。
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
淨資產收益率或roe是用來評估公司管理層如何有效利用公司資本的關鍵指標。簡而言之,roe顯示了每一美元投資在股東投資方面產生的利潤。
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
如何計算淨資產收益率?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
roe可以通過以下公式計算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營) ÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Micron Technology is:
因此,根據以上公式,美光科技的ROE爲:
1.7% = US$778m ÷ US$45b (Based on the trailing twelve months to August 2024).
1.7% = 77800萬美元 ÷ 450億美元(基於截至2024年8月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.02 in profit.
「回報」是指過去十二個月內稅後賺取的金額。這意味着對於每1美元的股東權益,公司創造了0.02美元的利潤。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
ROE爲什麼對淨利潤增長很重要?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解到roe是衡量公司利潤產生效率的指標。根據公司選擇再投資或「保留」其利潤的比例,我們隨後可以評估公司未來利潤的能力。其他條件都相同的情況下,roe和利潤保留率都較高的公司通常比沒有這些特徵的公司有更高的增長速度。
Micron Technology's Earnings Growth And 1.7% ROE
美光科技的盈利增長和1.7%的roe
It is hard to argue that Micron Technology's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 12%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 32% seen by Micron Technology was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
很難說美光科技的roe本身很好。不僅如此,即使與行業平均水平12%相比,該公司的roe也毫不出衆。因此,可以說美光科技五年淨利潤下降32%可能是由於其roe較低。我們認爲還可能有其他方面對公司的盈利前景造成負面影響。例如,該公司的分紅派息率很高,面臨競爭壓力。
That being said, we compared Micron Technology's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 21% in the same 5-year period.
話雖如此,我們將美光科技的表現與行業進行了比較,當我們發現雖然該公司縮減了盈利,但在同樣的5年期間,行業的盈利增長率高達21%,這讓我們感到擔憂。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for MU? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.
盈利增長是評估股票價值時的重要指標。投資者要知道市場是否已經充分定價了公司預期的盈利增長(或下降)。通過這樣做,他們就能了解股票是否將進入明朗的局面,或者是否將迎來困難時期。市場是否已經充分定價了美光的未來前景?您可以在我們最新的內在價值信息圖研究報告中找到答案。
Is Micron Technology Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
美光科技是否有效利用其利潤?
When we piece together Micron Technology's low three-year median payout ratio of 1.9% (where it is retaining 98% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.
當我們綜合美光科技過去三年的中位數低支付比率爲1.9%(保留了98%的利潤)的數據,我們對於缺乏增長感到困惑。低支付比率應該意味着公司保留了大部分利潤,因此應該會看到一些增長。因此,在這方面可能有一些其他解釋。例如,公司的業務可能正在惡化。此外,美光科技在過去三年內支付了股息,這意味着公司管理層相當專注於保持股息支付,而不管盈利萎縮。通過查看當前的分析師一致數據,我們可以看到公司未來的支付比率預計在未來三年內將上升到5.0%。然而,儘管預計公司的支付比率將增加,美光科技的未來roe預計將上升到16%。我們推斷可能有其他因素推動了公司roe預期增長。
Additionally, Micron Technology has paid dividends over a period of three years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 5.0% over the next three years. However, Micron Technology's future ROE is expected to rise to 16% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.
此外,美光科技在過去三年內支付了股息,這意味着公司管理層相當專注於保持股息支付,而不管盈利萎縮。通過查看當前的分析師一致數據,我們可以看到公司未來的支付比率預計在未來三年內將上升到5.0%。然而,儘管預計公司的支付比率將增加,美光科技的未來roe預計將上升到16%。我們推斷可能有其他因素推動了公司roe預期增長。
Summary
總結
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Micron Technology can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
總體上,我們認爲美光科技表現具有多種解讀可能。雖然公司具有較高的利潤留存率,但其較低的roe率可能阻礙了其盈利增長。話雖如此,我們研究了最新的分析師預測,並發現,儘管公司過去收縮了利潤,分析師們預計其未來利潤將增長。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?單擊此處訪問我們對該公司的分析師預測頁面。
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