Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Deluxe Corporation (NYSE:DLX) For Its Upcoming Dividend
Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Deluxe Corporation (NYSE:DLX) For Its Upcoming Dividend
Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Deluxe Corporation (NYSE:DLX) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. This means that investors who purchase Deluxe's shares on or after the 19th of November will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 2nd of December.
常規讀者會知道,我們在Simply Wall St非常喜歡分紅派息,這就是爲什麼看到Deluxe Corporation(紐交所:DLX)將在接下來的4天內開始除息令人興奮。除息日期是公司記錄日期之前的一個工作日,記錄日期是公司確定哪些股東有權獲得分紅派息的日期。除息日期非常重要,因爲每次股票交易時,交易至少需要兩個工作日才能結算。這意味着在11月19日或之後購買Deluxe股票的投資者將無法獲得將於12月2日支付的分紅派息。
The company's upcoming dividend is US$0.30 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of US$1.20 per share to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Deluxe has a trailing yield of 5.0% on the current share price of US$24.12. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.
公司即將支付的分紅派息爲每股0.30美元,這是在過去12個月之後,公司向股東分配的總額爲每股1.20美元。去年的總分紅派息顯示,Deluxe當前每股價格24.12美元的股息收益率爲5.0%。分紅派息是長揸者投資回報的主要貢獻者,但前提是分紅派息能夠持續支付。因此,我們需要檢查分紅派息是否得到了保障,以及收益是否在增長。
Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Last year Deluxe paid out 96% of its profits as dividends to shareholders, suggesting the dividend is not well covered by earnings. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. It distributed 42% of its free cash flow as dividends, a comfortable payout level for most companies.
分紅派息通常是從公司利潤中支付的,因此如果一家公司支付的分紅派息超過其賺取的利潤,那麼其分紅派息通常面臨更大的削減風險。去年,Deluxe將96%的利潤作爲分紅派息支付給股東,這表明分紅派息並未得到良好的盈利保障。然而,自由現金流對於評估分紅派息甚至比利潤更爲重要,因此我們需要查看公司是否產生了足夠的現金來支付其分配。它將42%的自由現金流分配爲分紅派息,這是大多數公司的一個舒適的支付水平。
It's good to see that while Deluxe's dividends were not well covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if this were to happen repeatedly, we'd be concerned about whether the dividend is sustainable in a downturn.
很高興看到,儘管Deluxe的分紅派息未得到利潤的良好保障,但至少從現金角度來看是可負擔的。不過,如果這種情況反覆發生,我們將擔心分紅派息在經濟低迷時是否可持續。
Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.
點擊此處查看公司的支付比率以及未來分紅的分析師預期。
Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?
收益和股息一直在增長嗎?
Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Readers will understand then, why we're concerned to see Deluxe's earnings per share have dropped 17% a year over the past five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.
盈利下滑的公司對分紅股東來說風險更高。如果業務進入衰退,分紅被削減,公司價值可能會急劇下降。因此,讀者會理解我們爲何對Deluxe每股收益在過去五年中下滑17%感到擔憂。最終,當每股收益下降時,可以支付分紅的「蛋糕」大小會縮小。
Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Since the start of our data, 10 years ago, Deluxe has lifted its dividend by approximately 1.8% a year on average.
許多投資者會通過評估分紅支付隨時間變化的情況來衡量公司的分紅表現。自10年前開始我們的數據以來,Deluxe平均每年提高分紅約1.8%。
The Bottom Line
最終結論
Is Deluxe worth buying for its dividend? It's never great to see earnings per share declining, especially when a company is paying out 96% of its profit as dividends, which we feel is uncomfortably high. However, the cash payout ratio was much lower - good news from a dividend perspective - which makes us wonder why there is such a mis-match between income and cashflow. Bottom line: Deluxe has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.
Deluxe的分紅值得買入嗎?每股收益下滑總不是一件好事,特別是在公司將96%的利潤作爲分紅支付的情況下,這讓我們覺得這個比例過高。然而,從分紅的角度來看,現金支付比率要低得多——這是好消息——這讓我們想知道爲什麼收入和現金流之間存在如此大的不匹配。底線是:Deluxe有一些不幸的特徵,我們認爲這些特徵可能會導致分紅投資者的次優結果。
With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Deluxe don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. Be aware that Deluxe is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is significant...
考慮到這一點,如果Deluxe的糟糕分紅特徵沒有讓你感到不安,那麼值得注意的是這個業務所涉及的風險。請注意,Deluxe在我們的投資分析中顯示出3個警示信號,其中1個是顯著的……
A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.
一個常見的投資錯誤是購買你看到的第一個有趣的股票。在這裏,您可以找到高股息股票的完整列表。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。